AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over PENN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PENN

PENN Entertainment, Inc.

50
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

PENN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

PENN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

PENN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over PENN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PENN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE46x91x137x182x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE46x91x137x182x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$0.65-96%
Forward11x$17.53—
Fair22x$2.25-87%
Expensive29x$2.94-83%
Current175x$17.53—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PENN's PE is in its expensive range at 175x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

PENN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

PENN has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PENN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PENN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$22.55
Downside-28%$12.70

Calculated from the latest close: $17.53 on Nov 12.

PENN trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over PENN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PENN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.22Q1 2024: $-7.03Q2 2024: $-7.69Q3 2024: $-3.13Q4 2024: $-2.05Q1 2025: $-0.61Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-6.34Q4 2025: $-5.83Q1 2026: $-6.53Q2 2026: $-6.17Q3 2026: $0.10Forward: $1.60
Q4 2023: $-3.22Q1 2024: $-7.03Q2 2024: $-7.69Q3 2024: $-3.13Q4 2024: $-2.05Q1 2025: $-0.61Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-6.34Q4 2025: $-5.83Q1 2026: $-6.53Q2 2026: $-6.17Q3 2026: $0.10Forward: $1.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.60+1503%
Q3 2026$0.10+$6.44
Q2 2026-$6.17-$5.62
Q1 2026-$6.53-$5.92
Q4 2025-$5.83-$3.78
Q3 2025-$6.34-$3.21
Q2 2025-$0.55+$7.14
Q1 2025-$0.61+$6.42
Q4 2024-$2.05+$1.17

PENN has returned to profit: it earned $0.10 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over PENN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PENN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+7.1%
Q2 2026$1.9B+5.2%
Q1 2026$1.8B+6.4%
Q4 2025$1.8B+8.2%
Q3 2025$1.7B+4.8%
Q2 2025$1.8B+6.1%
Q1 2025$1.7B+4.1%
Q4 2024$1.7B+20%

PENN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 7.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

PENN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$237MQ1 2024: −$110MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: −$118MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $204M
Q4 2023: −$237MQ1 2024: −$110MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: −$118MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $204M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$204.1M+2389%
Q2 2026$143.3M+662%
Q1 2026$27.8M+$111.1M
Q4 2025-$83.2M+$34.9M
Q3 2025$8.2M-81%
Q2 2025$18.8M-70%
Q1 2025-$83.3M+$26.8M
Q4 2024-$118.1M+$118.9M

PENN has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

PENN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 152MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 167MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 144MQ4 2025: 145MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 137MQ3 2026: 135M
Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 152MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 167MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 144MQ4 2025: 145MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 137MQ3 2026: 135M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1.7M shares
1 year-5.6%-8.1M shares
3 years-10%-15.5M shares
5 years-22%-37.3M shares
Available history+15%+17.6M shares

PENN has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over PENN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PENN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 7.7xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q3 2024: 7.7xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh
Q3 20247.7xHigh
Q3 20234.3xHigh
Q2 20231.2xHealthy
Q1 20231.0xHealthy

PENN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

PENN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.0Neutral
Stochastic44.0Neutral

PENN's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over PENN on valuation relative to its sector.

PENN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPENNSector medianRelative
PE175x18x873% above
PE %1004753 pts above

PENN is trading at 175x earnings, a 873% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over PENN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PENN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.811% above
20 week MA$17.81.6% below
50 week MA$16.65.8% above
100 week MA$17.12.4% above
200 week MA$19.812% below

PENN's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

PENN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.7$94.7+268%
2021$94.7$51.4-46%
2022$51.4$30.5-41%
2023$30.5$26.0-15%
2024$26.0$18.7-28%
2025$18.7$15.1-19%
2026 YTD$15.1$17.5+16%

PENN has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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