AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN has the edge over PAG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
PAG
Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
PAG trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
AMZN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
PAG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
PAG's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
AMZN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $267 | — |
| Forward | 27x | $267 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $415 | +55% |
| Fair | 60x | $745 | +179% |
| Expensive | 102x | $1,262 | +372% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMZN has the edge over PAG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PAG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.1x | $97.13 | -54% |
| Fair | 9.9x | $136 | -36% |
| Expensive | 12x | $168 | -21% |
| Forward | 15x | $213 | — |
| Current | 16x | $213 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PAG's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.
AMZN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.
PAG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect PAG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
AMZN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.87 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.37 | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.43 | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.17 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.08 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.56 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.14 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.53 | +91% |
AMZN has the edge over PAG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PAG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.91 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $13.71 | -3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.58 | -5.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.40 | -5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.50 | -1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.20 | +8.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.36 | +5.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.19 | -1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.74 | -11% |
PAG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $13.71 over the past year, against $18.55 in late 2022.
AMZN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $200.6B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $181.5B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $213.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.2B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.7B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $155.7B | +8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $187.8B | +10% |
AMZN has the edge over PAG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.5 points |
AMZN has the edge over PAG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PAG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.4B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.5B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.9B | +3.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.8B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.7B | +1.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.7B | -0.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.6B | +2.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.7B | +6.2% |
PAG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $8.4B last quarter, up 9.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.6% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.1% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3% | +0.7 points |
PAG's operating margin was 3.6% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
AMZN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$34.8B | -8202% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.8B | -2757% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.2B | -$10.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9B | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $430M | -87% |
| Q2 2025 | $332M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$8B | -297% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.8B | -36% |
AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.
PAG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $223.3M | -26% |
| Q2 2026 | $131.8M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $152.4M | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.1M | -81% |
| Q3 2025 | $300.4M | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $118.9M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $206.1M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $131.6M | +$163.4M |
PAG has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AMZN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +26M shares |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +84M shares |
| 3 years | +3.5% | +371M shares |
| 5 years | +6.1% | +629M shares |
| Available history | +8.2% | +829M shares |
AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $3.3B |
PAG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -60K shares |
| 1 year | -0.5% | -356K shares |
| 3 years | -2.4% | -1.6M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -13.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -16.8M shares |
PAG has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $26.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $40.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $7.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $71.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $39.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $600,000 |
PAG spent $66M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 44% from the year before.
AMZN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
AMZN has the edge over PAG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PAG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
PAG's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.
AMZN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.0 | Neutral |
AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
PAG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.3 | Neutral |
PAG's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AMZN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 20% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
PAG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PAG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 14% below |
| PE % | 97 | 47 | 50 pts above |
PAG has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.
AMZN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $253.6 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $254.9 | 4.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $242.5 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $229.6 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $191.4 | 40% above |
AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.
PAG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $209.0 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $210.1 | 1.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $182.0 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $173.6 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $163.6 | 30% above |
PAG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% above its 200-week average.
AMZN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $93.5 | $158.6 | +70% |
| 2021 | $158.6 | $171.1 | +7.8% |
| 2022 | $171.1 | $85.3 | -50% |
| 2023 | $85.3 | $151.9 | +78% |
| 2024 | $151.9 | $223.8 | +47% |
| 2025 | $223.8 | $232.5 | +3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $267.4 | +15% |
AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.
PAG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $50.7 | $57.7 | +14% |
| 2021 | $57.7 | $102.9 | +78% |
| 2022 | $102.9 | $112.3 | +9.2% |
| 2023 | $112.3 | $160.5 | +43% |
| 2024 | $160.5 | $155.1 | -3.3% |
| 2025 | $155.1 | $165.6 | +6.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $165.6 | $213.3 | +29% |
PAG has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.