AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN has the edge over NVR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
NVR
NVR, Inc.
NVR trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
AMZN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
NVR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NVR's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
AMZN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $267 | — |
| Forward | 27x | $267 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $415 | +55% |
| Fair | 60x | $745 | +179% |
| Expensive | 102x | $1,262 | +372% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMZN has the edge over NVR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NVR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $4,445 | -24% |
| Fair | 16x | $5,774 | -0.7% |
| Current | 16x | $5,814 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $5,814 | — |
| Expensive | 19x | $6,711 | +15% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVR's PE is in its fair range at 16x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 17x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.
AMZN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
AMZN has the edge over NVR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NVR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVR's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AMZN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.87 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.37 | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.43 | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.17 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.08 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.56 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.14 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.53 | +91% |
AMZN has the edge over NVR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NVR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $338.23 | -6.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $362.02 | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $384.90 | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $409.48 | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $436.55 | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $454.79 | -7% |
| Q2 2025 | $472.96 | -2.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $485.11 | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $506.69 | +9.4% |
NVR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $362.02 over the past year, against $506.69 in late 2024.
AMZN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $200.6B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $181.5B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $213.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.2B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.7B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $155.7B | +8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $187.8B | +10% |
AMZN has the edge over NVR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.5 points |
AMZN's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 4.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
NVR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | -7.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | -4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | -4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +17% |
NVR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $2.4B last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -3.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +0.2 points |
NVR's operating margin was 14% last quarter, down 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AMZN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$34.8B | -8202% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.8B | -2757% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.2B | -$10.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9B | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $430M | -87% |
| Q2 2025 | $332M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$8B | -297% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.8B | -36% |
AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.
NVR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $205.1M | -53% |
| Q2 2026 | -$157.7M | -688% |
| Q1 2026 | $334.8M | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $436M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $433.3M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.8M | -88% |
| Q1 2025 | $200.7M | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $631.5M | +29% |
NVR has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AMZN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +26M shares |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +84M shares |
| 3 years | +3.5% | +371M shares |
| 5 years | +6.1% | +629M shares |
| Available history | +8.2% | +829M shares |
AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $3.3B |
NVR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -37.3K shares |
| 1 year | -8.9% | -272K shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -679K shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -1.1M shares |
| Available history | -30% | -1.2M shares |
NVR has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $237.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $373.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $632M |
| Q4 2025 | $502.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $276.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $471.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $583.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $564.3M |
NVR spent $1.7B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 7.9% from the year before.
AMZN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
NVR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
NVR has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AMZN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.0 | Neutral |
AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
NVR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 46.9 | Neutral |
NVR's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AMZN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 20% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
NVR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NVR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 11% below |
| PE % | 53 | 47 | 6 pts above |
NVR has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.
AMZN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $253.6 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $254.9 | 4.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $242.5 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $229.6 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $191.4 | 40% above |
AMZN has the edge over NVR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6,020.7 | 3.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $6,225.5 | 6.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $6,630.8 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $7,113.9 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $7,095.2 | 18% below |
NVR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% below its 200-week average.
AMZN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $93.5 | $158.6 | +70% |
| 2021 | $158.6 | $171.1 | +7.8% |
| 2022 | $171.1 | $85.3 | -50% |
| 2023 | $85.3 | $151.9 | +78% |
| 2024 | $151.9 | $223.8 | +47% |
| 2025 | $223.8 | $232.5 | +3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $267.4 | +15% |
AMZN has the edge over NVR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NVR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3,816.4 | $4,216.4 | +10% |
| 2021 | $4,216.4 | $5,784.6 | +37% |
| 2022 | $5,784.6 | $4,645.0 | -20% |
| 2023 | $4,645.0 | $7,000.5 | +51% |
| 2024 | $7,000.5 | $8,208.4 | +17% |
| 2025 | $8,208.4 | $7,382.2 | -10% |
| 2026 YTD | $7,382.2 | $5,814.3 | -21% |
NVR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.