AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over AMZN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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