AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over NEGG overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

NEGG

Newegg Commerce, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

NEGG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

NEGG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

NEGG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

NEGG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE474x947x1421x1895x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE474x947x1421x1895x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current19x$8.65—
Cheap61x$27.55+218%
Fair105x$47.21+446%
Expensive220x$98.94+1044%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NEGG has the edge over AMZN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

NEGG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NEGG to show an outlook.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NEGG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NEGG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$17.64
Downside-51%$4.26

Calculated from the latest close: $8.65 on Nov 12.

NEGG trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over NEGG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NEGG Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-2.97Q2 2024: $-2.84Q3 2024: $-2.54Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-1.69Q2 2025: $-1.16Q3 2025: $-0.71Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $0.23Q2 2026: $0.45
Q1 2024: $-2.97Q2 2024: $-2.84Q3 2024: $-2.54Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-1.69Q2 2025: $-1.16Q3 2025: $-0.71Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $0.23Q2 2026: $0.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.45+$1.61
Q1 2026$0.23+$1.92
Q4 2025-$0.25+$1.97
Q3 2025-$0.71+$1.83
Q2 2025-$1.16+$1.68
Q1 2025-$1.69+$1.28
Q1 2024-$2.97+$0.37
Q1 2023-$3.34-584%

NEGG has returned to profit: it earned $0.45 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over NEGG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NEGG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $318MQ4 2023: $456MQ1 2024: $309MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $309MQ1 2025: $347MQ2 2025: $348MQ3 2025: $374MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $306MQ2 2026: $320M
Q3 2023: $318MQ4 2023: $456MQ1 2024: $309MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $309MQ1 2025: $347MQ2 2025: $348MQ3 2025: $374MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $306MQ2 2026: $320M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$320.4M-8.1%
Q1 2026$306.2M-12%
Q4 2025$374.4M+21%
Q3 2025$374.4M+21%
Q2 2025$348.5M+13%
Q1 2025$347.2M+12%
Q4 2024$308.7M-32%
Q3 2024$308.7M-2.8%

NEGG's revenue is growing: $320M last quarter, down 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

NEGG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$32MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: $25M
Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$32MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$24.9M+$80.3M
Q1 2026-$46.3M-1188%
Q4 2025$10.8M-64%
Q3 2025$10.8M-64%
Q2 2025-$55.5M-$23.3M
Q1 2025$4.3M+$36.5M
Q4 2024$30M-40%
Q3 2024$30M+70%

NEGG has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over NEGG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NEGG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21M
Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+940 shares
1 year+7.6%+1.5M shares
3 years+11%+2M shares
5 years-1.4%-303K shares
Available history+16%+2.8M shares

NEGG has 21M diluted shares, up 7.6% from a year ago, despite $2M in buybacks over the past year.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NEGG Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -18.3xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -2.2x
Q4 2025: -18.3xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-18.3xNet Cash
Q1 20222.3xModerate
Q4 20210.2xVery low
Q3 2021-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2021-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2021-1.7xNet Cash

NEGG has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

NEGG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic4.6Oversold

NEGG's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NEGG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNEGGSector medianRelative
PE19x18x7.5% above
PE %04747 pts below

NEGG has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over NEGG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NEGG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.619% below
20 week MA$13.436% below
50 week MA$29.371% below
100 week MA$29.771% below
200 week MA$24.965% below

NEGG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over NEGG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NEGG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.0$94.2+47%
2021$94.2$219.6+133%
2022$219.6$26.4-88%
2023$26.4$25.2-4.5%
2024$25.2$8.89-65%
2025$8.89$53.0+496%
2026 YTD$53.0$8.65-84%

NEGG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +496% in 2025 to −88% in 2022. It's down 84% so far in 2026.

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