AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over MSC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

MSC

Studio City International Holdings Limited

49
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

MSC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

MSC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

MSC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

MSC PE Valuation

MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

MSC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSC to show an outlook.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$1.88
Downside-47%$0.53

Calculated from the latest close: $1.00 on Nov 12.

MSC trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over MSC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MSC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-3.58Q4 2023: $-1.92Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-1.68Q3 2024: $-1.52Q4 2024: $-1.98Q1 2025: $-2.01Q2 2025: $-1.41Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-1.09
Q3 2023: $-3.58Q4 2023: $-1.92Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-1.68Q3 2024: $-1.52Q4 2024: $-1.98Q1 2025: $-2.01Q2 2025: $-1.41Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-1.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.09+$0.32
Q1 2026-$0.85+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.24+$0.74
Q3 2025-$1.36+$0.16
Q2 2025-$1.41+$0.27
Q1 2025-$2.01-$0.01
Q4 2024-$1.98-$0.06
Q3 2024-$1.52+$2.06

MSC is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.09 per share over the past year, against $12.48 at its worst in late 2021.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over MSC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $165M
Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $165M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$164.6M-13%
Q1 2026$176.7M+9.3%
Q4 2025$160.3M+4.9%
Q3 2025$182.5M+4.5%
Q2 2025$190.1M+18%
Q1 2025$161.7M+7.7%
Q4 2024$152.9M+8.2%
Q3 2024$174.6M+27%

MSC's revenue has held roughly level: $165M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

MSC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0$0

MSC's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

MSC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 48MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48M
Q3 2023: 48MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+43 shares
3 years0%--
5 years+108%+25M shares
Available history-20%-12.3M shares

MSC has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over MSC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 44.7xQ4 2023: 13.9xQ1 2024: 10.1xQ2 2024: 8.7xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 8.5xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 7.1xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 6.6x
Q3 2023: 44.7xQ4 2023: 13.9xQ1 2024: 10.1xQ2 2024: 8.7xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 8.5xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 7.1xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20266.5xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q3 20257.1xHigh
Q2 20257.3xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20248.5xHigh
Q3 20248.3xHigh

MSC's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.3 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

MSC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.9Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

MSC's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

MSC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over MSC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.937.5% above
20 week MA$1.4129% below
50 week MA$2.2455% below
100 week MA$3.1268% below
200 week MA$4.8980% below

MSC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 80% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over MSC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.5$13.9-32%
2021$13.9$5.58-60%
2022$5.58$5.30-5%
2023$5.30$6.48+22%
2024$6.48$6.480%
2025$6.48$2.94-55%
2026 YTD$2.94$1.00-66%

MSC has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 66% so far in 2026.

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