AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over MOD overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

MOD

Modine Manufacturing Company

54
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

MOD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

MOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

MOD's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over MOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x79x118x158x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x79x118x158x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$22.39-79%
Forward14x$106—
Fair23x$55.73-47%
Expensive44x$107+0.9%
Current44x$106—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MOD's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

MOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

MOD has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MOD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+75%$185.63
Downside-24%$80.36

Calculated from the latest close: $106.10 on Nov 12.

MOD trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over MOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.26Q1 2024: $3.03Q2 2024: $3.06Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $2.98Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.46Q4 2025: $1.80Q1 2026: $2.26Q2 2026: $2.68Q3 2026: $2.41Forward: $7.72
Q4 2023: $4.26Q1 2024: $3.03Q2 2024: $3.06Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $2.98Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.46Q4 2025: $1.80Q1 2026: $2.26Q2 2026: $2.68Q3 2026: $2.41Forward: $7.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.72+220%
Q3 2026$2.41-30%
Q2 2026$2.68-23%
Q1 2026$2.26-34%
Q4 2025$1.80-40%
Q3 2025$3.46+13%
Q2 2025$3.49+14%
Q1 2025$3.42+13%
Q4 2024$2.98-30%

MOD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.41 over the past year, against $4.26 in late 2023.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $561MQ1 2024: $604MQ2 2024: $662MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $617MQ1 2025: $647MQ2 2025: $683MQ3 2025: $739MQ4 2025: $805MQ1 2026: $954MQ2 2026: $874MQ3 2026: $994M
Q4 2023: $561MQ1 2024: $604MQ2 2024: $662MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $617MQ1 2025: $647MQ2 2025: $683MQ3 2025: $739MQ4 2025: $805MQ1 2026: $954MQ2 2026: $874MQ3 2026: $994M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$994.4M+35%
Q2 2026$874.1M+28%
Q1 2026$954.4M+47%
Q4 2025$805M+31%
Q3 2025$738.9M+12%
Q2 2025$682.8M+3.2%
Q1 2025$647.2M+7.2%
Q4 2024$616.8M+9.9%

MOD has the edge over AMZN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

MOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $200,000Q3 2025: −$31MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$141M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $200,000Q3 2025: −$31MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: −$141M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$140.6M-$110.1M
Q2 2026-$5M-2600%
Q1 2026$152.8M+464%
Q4 2025-$17.1M-138%
Q3 2025-$30.5M-170%
Q2 2025$200K-99%
Q1 2025$27.1M+$31.4M
Q4 2024$44.7M-4.1%

MOD has the edge over AMZN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

MOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 54M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 54M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-100K shares
1 year+0.2%+100K shares
3 years+0.9%+500K shares
5 years+2.5%+1.3M shares
Available history+5.5%+2.8M shares

MOD has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over MOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MOD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.0xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

MOD's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

MOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.1Oversold
Stochastic7.8Oversold

MOD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over MOD on valuation relative to its sector.

MOD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMODSector medianRelative
PE44x18x144% above
PE %824735 pts above

MOD is trading at 44x earnings, a 144% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over MOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$144.627% below
20 week MA$180.741% below
50 week MA$200.147% below
100 week MA$157.233% below
200 week MA$113.36.4% below

MOD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over MOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.57$12.2+61%
2021$12.2$9.96-18%
2022$9.96$19.6+97%
2023$19.6$59.7+204%
2024$59.7$118.7+99%
2025$118.7$137.7+16%
2026 YTD$137.7$106.1-23%

MOD has finished higher in five of the last six years, four of them by more than 50%. It's down 23% so far in 2026.

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