AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over LIND overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LIND

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.

62
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

LIND offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

LIND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Stable

LIND's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

LIND PE Valuation

LIND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 84x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

LIND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LIND to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LIND, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LIND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$51.04
Downside-33%$22.96

Calculated from the latest close: $34.13 on Nov 12.

LIND trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over LIND on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LIND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.94Q1 2024: $-1.03Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.75Q4 2024: $-0.67Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.63Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.38Q3 2026: $-0.02Forward: $0.41
Q4 2023: $-0.94Q1 2024: $-1.03Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.75Q4 2024: $-0.67Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.63Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.38Q3 2026: $-0.02Forward: $0.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.41—
Q3 2026-$0.02+$0.61
Q2 2026-$0.38-$0.11
Q1 2026-$0.54+$0.03
Q4 2025-$0.63+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.63+$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.27+$0.76
Q1 2025-$0.57+$0.46
Q4 2024-$0.67+$0.27

LIND is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.02 per share over the past year, against $2.61 at its worst in early 2021.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

LIND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $206MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $180MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: $208MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $269M
Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $206MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $180MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: $208MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $269M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.2M+12%
Q2 2026$199.2M+19%
Q1 2026$208M+16%
Q4 2025$183.2M+23%
Q3 2025$240.2M+17%
Q2 2025$167.9M+23%
Q1 2025$179.7M+17%
Q4 2024$148.6M+19%

LIND has the edge over AMZN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

LIND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: −$1M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: −$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1M-110%
Q2 2026$51.1M+279%
Q1 2026$42.6M+22%
Q4 2025$3.5M+$11.7M
Q3 2025$11.9M-35%
Q2 2025$13.5M+20%
Q1 2025$35M-6.6%
Q4 2024-$8.2M+$8.9M

LIND has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over LIND on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LIND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 67M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 67M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.8%+1.2M shares
1 year+20%+11.1M shares
3 years+25%+13.3M shares
5 years+33%+16.6M shares
Available history+35%+17.3M shares

LIND has 67M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over LIND on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LIND Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.1xQ1 2024: 8.5xQ2 2024: 8.3xQ3 2024: 6.5xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 8.1xQ1 2024: 8.5xQ2 2024: 8.3xQ3 2024: 6.5xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20254.5xHigh
Q1 20255.4xHigh
Q4 20246.0xHigh

LIND's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

LIND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.2Neutral
Stochastic77.7Neutral

LIND's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

LIND PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLINDSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

LIND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over LIND on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LIND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.20.1% below
20 week MA$30.911% above
50 week MA$23.645% above
100 week MA$17.694% above
200 week MA$13.5154% above

LIND's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 154% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

LIND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.6$15.6-5.7%
2021$15.6$17.3+11%
2022$17.3$6.96-60%
2023$6.96$11.3+62%
2024$11.3$12.0+6.6%
2025$12.0$14.4+20%
2026 YTD$14.4$34.1+136%

LIND has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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