AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over IP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

IP

International Paper Company

45
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

IP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

IP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Stable
Weak

IP's cash flow is currently stable, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

IP PE Valuation

IP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

IP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for IP, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IP, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$45.08
Downside-24%$25.75

Calculated from the latest close: $33.94 on Nov 12.

IP trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over IP on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.82Q1 2024: $0.49Q2 2024: $1.22Q3 2024: $1.17Q4 2024: $1.57Q1 2025: $1.17Q2 2025: $-0.10Q3 2025: $-2.61Q4 2025: $-6.71Q1 2026: $-6.36Q2 2026: $-6.52Q3 2026: $-6.56Forward: $2.18
Q4 2023: $0.82Q1 2024: $0.49Q2 2024: $1.22Q3 2024: $1.17Q4 2024: $1.57Q1 2025: $1.17Q2 2025: $-0.10Q3 2025: $-2.61Q4 2025: $-6.71Q1 2026: $-6.36Q2 2026: $-6.52Q3 2026: $-6.56Forward: $2.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.18—
Q3 2026-$6.56-$3.95
Q2 2026-$6.52-$6.42
Q1 2026-$6.36-644%
Q4 2025-$6.71-527%
Q3 2025-$2.61-323%
Q2 2025-$0.10-108%
Q1 2025$1.17+139%
Q4 2024$1.57+91%

IP lost $6.56 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

IP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.6BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.6BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $6.2BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.2B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.6BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.6BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $6.2BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.2B-0.4%
Q2 2026$6B-11%
Q1 2026$6B+1.2%
Q4 2025$6B+31%
Q3 2025$6.2B+33%
Q2 2025$6.8B+43%
Q1 2025$5.9B+28%
Q4 2024$4.6B-0.5%

IP's revenue has held roughly level: $6.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

IP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $144MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $137MQ1 2025: −$618MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $150MQ4 2025: $255MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$267M
Q4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $144MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $137MQ1 2025: −$618MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $150MQ4 2025: $255MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$267M-278%
Q2 2026-$7M-113%
Q1 2026$94M+$712M
Q4 2025$255M+86%
Q3 2025$150M-51%
Q2 2025$54M-68%
Q1 2025-$618M-529%
Q4 2024$137M-27%

IP has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

IP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 349MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 353MQ3 2024: 353MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 533MQ3 2025: 528MQ4 2025: 506MQ1 2026: 532MQ2 2026: 530MQ3 2026: 530M
Q4 2023: 349MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 353MQ3 2024: 353MQ1 2025: 438MQ2 2025: 533MQ3 2025: 528MQ4 2025: 506MQ1 2026: 532MQ2 2026: 530MQ3 2026: 530M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+100K shares
1 year+0.3%+1.6M shares
3 years+53%+183M shares
5 years+26%+111M shares
Available history+26%+108M shares

IP has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

IP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.2x
Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20255.2xHigh
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20254.7xHigh
Q4 20242.4xModerate
Q3 20242.3xModerate
Q2 20242.3xModerate
Q1 20242.3xModerate
Q4 20232.1xModerate

IP's net debt is about 5.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

IP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic31.0Neutral

IP's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

IP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricIPSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

IP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over IP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.90.1% above
20 week MA$36.98% below
50 week MA$37.69.8% below
100 week MA$43.322% below
200 week MA$41.318% below

IP has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 18% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over IP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.5$47.1+8.4%
2021$47.1$45.8-2.7%
2022$45.8$34.7-24%
2023$34.7$36.2+4.1%
2024$36.2$54.5+51%
2025$54.5$39.9-27%
2026 YTD$39.9$33.9-15%

IP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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