AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over GPI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GPI

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

45
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

GPI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

GPI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

GPI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over GPI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GPI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x12x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x12x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.1x$162-37%
Forward7x$257—
Current8.1x$257—
Fair8.2x$261+1.5%
Expensive12x$383+49%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GPI's PE is in its fair range at 8.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.0x.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

GPI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GPI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GPI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GPI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$314.10
Downside-21%$204.52

Calculated from the latest close: $257.29 on Nov 12.

GPI trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over GPI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $42.73Q1 2024: $42.43Q2 2024: $40.56Q3 2024: $37.60Q4 2024: $36.81Q1 2025: $35.68Q2 2025: $36.33Q3 2025: $28.64Q4 2025: $25.24Q1 2026: $26.42Q2 2026: $24.24Q3 2026: $31.83Forward: $36.79
Q4 2023: $42.73Q1 2024: $42.43Q2 2024: $40.56Q3 2024: $37.60Q4 2024: $36.81Q1 2025: $35.68Q2 2025: $36.33Q3 2025: $28.64Q4 2025: $25.24Q1 2026: $26.42Q2 2026: $24.24Q3 2026: $31.83Forward: $36.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$36.79+16%
Q3 2026$31.83+11%
Q2 2026$24.24-33%
Q1 2026$26.42-26%
Q4 2025$25.24-31%
Q3 2025$28.64-24%
Q2 2025$36.33-10%
Q1 2025$35.68-16%
Q4 2024$36.81-14%

GPI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $31.83 over the past year, against $47.14 in late 2022.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over GPI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.4BQ3 2026: $5.4B
Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.4BQ3 2026: $5.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.4B-6.7%
Q2 2026$5.4B-5.6%
Q1 2026$5.4B-1.8%
Q4 2025$5.6B+0.6%
Q3 2025$5.8B+11%
Q2 2025$5.7B+21%
Q1 2025$5.5B+23%
Q4 2024$5.5B+24%

GPI's revenue has held roughly level: $5.4B last quarter, down 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

GPI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$250MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: −$164MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $147M
Q4 2023: −$250MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: −$164MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $147M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$146.7M+69%
Q2 2026$19.8M-89%
Q1 2026$8.4M-92%
Q4 2025$51.4M-57%
Q3 2025$86.7M-55%
Q2 2025$179.9M+$343.7M
Q1 2025$106.5M-44%
Q4 2024$120.1M+$370.4M

GPI has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

GPI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+32.9K shares
1 year-7.2%-920K shares
3 years-13%-1.8M shares
5 years-33%-6M shares
Available history-34%-6.1M shares

GPI has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

GPI Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20221.7xHealthy
Q2 20221.7xHealthy
Q1 20221.8xHealthy
Q4 20212.1xModerate
Q3 20211.2xHealthy
Q2 20211.4xHealthy
Q1 20212.0xHealthy
Q4 20202.3xModerate

GPI's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

GPI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic36.1Neutral

GPI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GPI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGPISector medianRelative
PE8.1x18x55% below
PE %48471 pt above

GPI has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over GPI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GPI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$250.12.9% above
20 week MA$270.75% below
50 week MA$317.419% below
100 week MA$373.731% below
200 week MA$329.922% below

GPI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 22% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over GPI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GPI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.8$118.8+18%
2021$118.8$188.0+58%
2022$188.0$174.6-7.1%
2023$174.6$304.7+75%
2024$304.7$423.1+39%
2025$423.1$407.6-3.7%
2026 YTD$407.6$257.3-37%

GPI is down 37% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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