AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has a slight edge over EYE overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

EYE

National Vision Holdings, Inc.

70
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

EYE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

EYE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

EYE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over EYE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EYE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE334x667x1001x1334x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE334x667x1001x1334x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$18.57—
Current23x$18.57—
Cheap28x$22.52+21%
Fair50x$40.68+119%
Expensive103x$83.20+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EYE's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

EYE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect EYE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EYE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EYE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$28.23
Downside-19%$15.04

Calculated from the latest close: $18.57 on Nov 12.

EYE trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.37 over the past year, up 75% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

EYE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.91Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.61Q4 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.16
Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.91Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.61Q4 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.16+44%
Q3 2026$0.81+$0.84
Q2 2026$0.61+$0.79
Q1 2026$0.57+$0.90
Q4 2025$0.37+$0.73
Q3 2025-$0.03+$0.16
Q2 2025-$0.18+$0.84
Q1 2025-$0.33+$0.58
Q4 2024-$0.36+$0.48

EYE has returned to profit: it earned $0.81 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over EYE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EYE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $506MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $452MQ3 2024: $452MQ4 2024: $437MQ1 2025: $510MQ2 2025: $486MQ3 2025: $487MQ1 2026: $503MQ2 2026: $544MQ3 2026: $499MQ4 2026: $511M
Q4 2023: $506MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $452MQ3 2024: $452MQ4 2024: $437MQ1 2025: $510MQ2 2025: $486MQ3 2025: $487MQ1 2026: $503MQ2 2026: $544MQ3 2026: $499MQ4 2026: $511M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$510.5M+4.8%
Q2 2026$498.8M+2.5%
Q1 2026$543.9M+6.6%
Q4 2025$503.4M+15%
Q3 2025$487.3M+7.9%
Q2 2025$486.4M+7.7%
Q1 2025$510.3M-5.9%
Q4 2024$437.3M-14%

EYE's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $511M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

EYE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $30MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: −$14MQ4 2026: $49M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $30MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: −$14MQ4 2026: $49M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$49.3M+63%
Q2 2026-$14.1M-133%
Q1 2026$44.1M+267%
Q4 2025-$11.2M-$9.5M
Q3 2025$30.3M+647%
Q2 2025$42.4M+33%
Q1 2025$12M+202%
Q4 2024-$1.7M+$11.3M

EYE has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

EYE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 81MQ4 2026: 80M
Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 81MQ4 2026: 80M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-533K shares
1 year-1.4%-1.1M shares
3 years+2.4%+1.9M shares
5 years-17%-16.4M shares
Available history-2.1%-1.7M shares

EYE has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over EYE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EYE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.7xQ1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 8.2xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.1xQ4 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 5.7xQ1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 8.2xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.1xQ4 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated

EYE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

EYE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

EYE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over EYE on valuation relative to its sector.

EYE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEYESector medianRelative
PE23x18x27% above
PE %74740 pts below

EYE is trading at 23x earnings, a 27% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over EYE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

EYE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.47% above
20 week MA$18.40.7% above
50 week MA$22.016% below
100 week MA$20.59.5% below
200 week MA$19.75.6% below

EYE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 5.6% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over EYE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

EYE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.1$47.3+43%
2021$47.3$47.8+1.1%
2022$47.8$38.7-19%
2023$38.7$20.9-46%
2024$20.9$10.6-49%
2025$10.6$28.0+165%
2026 YTD$28.0$18.6-34%

EYE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +165% in 2025 to −49% in 2024. It's down 34% so far in 2026.

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