AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over DRI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

DRI

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

57
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

DRI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

DRI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

DRI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over DRI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DRI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$179-22%
Fair20x$205-10%
Forward20x$228—
Current22x$228—
Expensive23x$232+1.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DRI's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

DRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect DRI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DRI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DRI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$264.58
Downside-15%$194.08

Calculated from the latest close: $227.90 on Nov 12.

DRI trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over DRI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DRI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $8.52Q2 2024: $8.51Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.72Q1 2025: $8.86Q2 2025: $8.86Q3 2025: $9.31Q4 2025: $9.52Q1 2026: $9.43Q2 2026: $10.38Q3 2026: $10.23Forward: $11.48
Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $8.52Q2 2024: $8.51Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.72Q1 2025: $8.86Q2 2025: $8.86Q3 2025: $9.31Q4 2025: $9.52Q1 2026: $9.43Q2 2026: $10.38Q3 2026: $10.23Forward: $11.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.48+12%
Q3 2026$10.23+9.9%
Q2 2026$10.38+17%
Q1 2026$9.43+6.4%
Q4 2025$9.52+9.2%
Q3 2025$9.31+7.5%
Q2 2025$8.86+4.1%
Q1 2025$8.86+4%
Q4 2024$8.72+5.6%

DRI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $10.23 over the past year, up 9.9% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over DRI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DRI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+5.1%
Q2 2026$3.7B+14%
Q1 2026$3.3B+5.9%
Q4 2025$3.1B+7.3%
Q3 2025$3B+10%
Q2 2025$3.3B+11%
Q1 2025$3.2B+6.2%
Q4 2024$2.9B+6%

DRI's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

DRI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $179MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $286MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $430MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $168MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $104M
Q4 2023: $179MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $286MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $430MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $168MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.7M-38%
Q2 2026$379M+33%
Q1 2026$451.9M+5.1%
Q4 2025$119.8M-45%
Q3 2025$168.4M+32%
Q2 2025$285M-0.2%
Q1 2025$430.1M-1.7%
Q4 2024$219.3M+22%

DRI has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

DRI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 121MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 114M
Q4 2023: 121MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 114M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-1.9M shares
1 year-2.7%-3.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-7.6M shares
5 years-13%-17.3M shares
Available history-7.5%-9.3M shares

DRI has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over DRI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DRI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.1xHealthy
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

DRI's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

DRI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.0Neutral
Stochastic80.3Overbought

DRI's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over DRI on valuation relative to its sector.

DRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDRISector medianRelative
PE22x18x24% above
PE %794732 pts above

DRI is trading at 22x earnings, a 24% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

DRI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$212.67.2% above
20 week MA$211.08% above
50 week MA$205.011% above
100 week MA$201.213% above
200 week MA$178.728% above

DRI is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

DRI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.0$117.9+9.1%
2021$117.9$148.8+26%
2022$148.8$138.8-6.7%
2023$138.8$164.3+18%
2024$164.3$187.6+14%
2025$187.6$188.4+0.4%
2026 YTD$188.4$227.9+21%

DRI has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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