AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over CCK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

CCK

Crown Holdings, Inc.

63
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CCK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

CCK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

CCK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over CCK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CCK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x63x94x126x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x63x94x126x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$120—
Cheap16x$118-2.4%
Current17x$120—
Fair21x$149+24%
Expensive25x$178+48%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CCK's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

CCK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCK, with profitability holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CCK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CCK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$144.25
Downside-14%$103.61

Calculated from the latest close: $120.48 on Nov 12.

CCK trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over CCK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CCK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.47Q2 2024: $3.61Q3 2024: $0.81Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $4.64Q2 2025: $4.75Q3 2025: $8.07Q4 2025: $6.38Q1 2026: $6.29Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.19Forward: $8.74
Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.47Q2 2024: $3.61Q3 2024: $0.81Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $4.64Q2 2025: $4.75Q3 2025: $8.07Q4 2025: $6.38Q1 2026: $6.29Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.19Forward: $8.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.74+22%
Q3 2026$7.19-11%
Q2 2026$6.96+47%
Q1 2026$6.29+36%
Q4 2025$6.38+80%
Q3 2025$8.07+896%
Q2 2025$4.75+32%
Q1 2025$4.64+34%
Q4 2024$3.55-5.6%

CCK earned $7.19 per share over the past year, down 11% from the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over CCK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CCK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+16%
Q2 2026$3.7B+16%
Q1 2026$3.3B+13%
Q4 2025$3.1B+7.7%
Q3 2025$3.2B+4.2%
Q2 2025$3.1B+3.6%
Q1 2025$2.9B+3.7%
Q4 2024$2.9B+1.6%

CCK's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $3.7B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

CCK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $442MQ1 2024: −$196MQ2 2024: $361MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $488MQ4 2025: $255MQ1 2026: −$141MQ2 2026: $597MQ3 2026: $299M
Q4 2023: $442MQ1 2024: −$196MQ2 2024: $361MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $488MQ4 2025: $255MQ1 2026: −$141MQ2 2026: $597MQ3 2026: $299M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$299M-39%
Q2 2026$597M+52%
Q1 2026-$141M-$122M
Q4 2025$255M+75%
Q3 2025$488M+2.1%
Q2 2025$393M+8.9%
Q1 2025-$19M+$177M
Q4 2024$146M-67%

CCK has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

CCK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-1.5M shares
1 year-6.4%-7.4M shares
3 years-9.5%-11.4M shares
5 years-16%-21.4M shares
Available history-20%-26.9M shares

CCK has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over CCK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CCK Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate

CCK's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

CCK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.6Neutral
Stochastic77.9Neutral

CCK's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

CCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCCKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x7% below
PE %194728 pts below

CCK has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

CCK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$114.45.4% above
20 week MA$115.44.4% above
50 week MA$108.111% above
100 week MA$101.119% above
200 week MA$93.129% above

CCK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

CCK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$73.2$98.6+35%
2021$98.6$105.7+7.2%
2022$105.7$82.6-22%
2023$82.6$92.1+12%
2024$92.1$83.2-9.7%
2025$83.2$102.9+24%
2026 YTD$102.9$120.5+17%

CCK has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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