AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over CAL overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

CAL

Caleres, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

CAL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

CAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

CAL's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over CAL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$7.30-45%
Forward6.1x$13.20—
Fair6.3x$9.45-28%
Expensive8.5x$12.88-2.4%
Current8.7x$13.20—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAL's PE is in its expensive range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.1x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

CAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CAL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CAL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$18.80
Downside-31%$9.13

Calculated from the latest close: $13.20 on Nov 12.

CAL trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over CAL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
Q4 2023: $4.38Q1 2024: $4.80Q2 2024: $4.71Q3 2024: $4.61Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.09Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $1.51Forward: $2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.15+42%
Q3 2026$1.51-15%
Q2 2026$0.00-100%
Q1 2026-$0.21-107%
Q4 2025$0.65-85%
Q3 2025$1.77-62%
Q2 2025$2.42-49%
Q1 2025$3.09-36%
Q4 2024$4.48+2.3%

CAL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.51 over the past year, against $5.13 in mid-2022.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over CAL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
Q4 2023: $762MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $659MQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $639MQ2 2025: $614MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $667MQ3 2026: $695M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$695.5M+5.6%
Q2 2026$666.6M+8.5%
Q1 2026$695.1M+8.7%
Q4 2025$790.1M+6.6%
Q3 2025$658.5M-3.6%
Q2 2025$614.2M-6.8%
Q1 2025$639.2M-8.3%
Q4 2024$740.9M-2.8%

CAL's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $695M last quarter, up 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

CAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$75.6M+116%
Q2 2026-$39M-$12.8M
Q1 2026$43.1M+140%
Q4 2025-$12.4M+$45M
Q3 2025$35M-49%
Q2 2025-$26.2M-200%
Q1 2025$18M-44%
Q4 2024-$57.4M-539%

CAL has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

CAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+77K shares
1 year+0.6%+206K shares
3 years-4.2%-1.5M shares

CAL has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over CAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

CAL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

CAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic49.9Neutral

CAL's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

CAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCALSector medianRelative
PE8.7x18x51% below
PE %854738 pts above

CAL has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over CAL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.83.4% above
20 week MA$12.64.4% above
50 week MA$12.64.5% above
100 week MA$14.05.6% below
200 week MA$22.040% below

CAL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 40% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over CAL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.6$13.5-43%
2021$13.5$21.9+62%
2022$21.9$21.8-0.5%
2023$21.8$30.7+41%
2024$30.7$23.4-24%
2025$23.4$13.3-43%
2026 YTD$13.3$13.2-0.6%

CAL has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 0.6% so far in 2026.

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