AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has a slight edge over BROS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

BROS

Dutch Bros Inc.

71
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential89/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BROS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

BROS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BROS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

BROS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE866x1732x2597x3463x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE866x1732x2597x3463x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward31x$33.71—
Current43x$33.71—
Cheap88x$68.51+103%
Fair162x$126+275%
Expensive567x$442+1213%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BROS has the edge over AMZN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

BROS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BROS, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN trails BROS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BROS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$74.87
Downside-15%$28.55

Calculated from the latest close: $33.71 on Nov 12.

BROS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMZN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.37 over the past year, up 75% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

BROS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.18Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.34Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.64Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.78Forward: $1.10
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.18Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.34Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.64Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $0.78Forward: $1.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.10+41%
Q3 2026$0.78+56%
Q2 2026$0.72+53%
Q1 2026$0.64+64%
Q4 2025$0.64+88%
Q3 2025$0.50+72%
Q2 2025$0.47+88%
Q1 2025$0.39+117%
Q4 2024$0.34+1033%

BROS has the edge over AMZN on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BROS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $254MQ1 2024: $275MQ2 2024: $325MQ3 2024: $338MQ4 2024: $343MQ1 2025: $355MQ2 2025: $416MQ3 2025: $424MQ4 2025: $444MQ1 2026: $464MQ2 2026: $551MQ3 2026: $550M
Q4 2023: $254MQ1 2024: $275MQ2 2024: $325MQ3 2024: $338MQ4 2024: $343MQ1 2025: $355MQ2 2025: $416MQ3 2025: $424MQ4 2025: $444MQ1 2026: $464MQ2 2026: $551MQ3 2026: $550M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$549.8M+30%
Q2 2026$550.9M+32%
Q1 2026$464.4M+31%
Q4 2025$443.6M+29%
Q3 2025$423.6M+25%
Q2 2025$415.8M+28%
Q1 2025$355.2M+29%
Q4 2024$342.8M+35%

BROS has the edge over AMZN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

BROS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.8M-22%
Q2 2026$39.9M+12%
Q1 2026$27.7M+$36.4M
Q4 2025$8.5M-56%
Q3 2025$18.9M-28%
Q2 2025$35.7M+$40.6M
Q1 2025-$8.7M+$7.6M
Q4 2024$19.5M+$35.2M

BROS has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over BROS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BROS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 127MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 122MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 127MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+3.4M shares
1 year+8.5%+10.8M shares
3 years+141%+80.8M shares
5 years+195%+91.4M shares
Available history+181%+89.1M shares

BROS has 138M diluted shares, up 8.5% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

BROS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

BROS has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

BROS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

BROS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over BROS on valuation relative to its sector.

BROS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBROSSector medianRelative
PE43x18x140% above
PE %05757 pts below

BROS is trading at 43x earnings, a 140% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over BROS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BROS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.512% below
20 week MA$49.031% below
50 week MA$53.837% below
100 week MA$58.142% below
200 week MA$45.326% below

BROS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over BROS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BROS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$43.6$52.9+21%
2022$52.9$30.1-43%
2023$30.1$31.7+5.3%
2024$31.7$53.4+68%
2025$53.4$64.0+20%
2026 YTD$64.0$33.7-47%

BROS is down 47% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.

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