AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over BIRK overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

BIRK

Birkenstock Holding plc

58
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

BIRK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

BIRK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Stable

BIRK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over BIRK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BIRK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$34.66-2.9%
Current17x$35.70—
Fair32x$64.55+81%
Expensive96x$195+447%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BIRK's PE is 17x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

AMZN has the edge over BIRK on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BIRK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BIRK, with profitability holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BIRK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BIRK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$52.01
Downside-31%$24.79

Calculated from the latest close: $35.70 on Nov 12.

BIRK trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.37 over the past year, up 75% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

BIRK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.59Q2 2024: $0.66Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.26Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.04
Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.59Q2 2024: $0.66Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.26Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.04+12%
Q1 2026$2.13+42%
Q4 2025$2.26+74%
Q3 2025$2.08+84%
Q2 2025$1.82+176%
Q1 2025$1.50+154%
Q4 2024$1.30+177%
Q3 2024$1.13+146%

BIRK has the edge over AMZN on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BIRK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $416MQ4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $506MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $705MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $698MQ2 2026: $813M
Q3 2023: $416MQ4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $506MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $705MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $698MQ2 2026: $813M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$812.6M+15%
Q1 2026$698.2M+9.4%
Q4 2025$446.5M+11%
Q3 2025$584.7M+15%
Q2 2025$705.5M+12%
Q1 2025$638M+19%
Q4 2024$401.8M+19%
Q3 2024$506.3M+22%

BIRK has the edge over AMZN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

BIRK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $106MQ4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $296MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $224M
Q3 2023: $106MQ4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $296MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $224M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$224M-16%
Q1 2026$2.2M+$43.5M
Q4 2025-$72.7M-$43.4M
Q3 2025$145.5M+3.4%
Q2 2025$266.7M-10%
Q1 2025-$41.3M-212%
Q4 2024-$29.2M+$41.4M
Q3 2024$140.8M+32%

BIRK has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

BIRK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 187MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 186MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 181M
Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 187MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 186MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 181M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2.4M shares
1 year-2.7%-5M shares
3 years-0.7%-1.2M shares

BIRK has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over BIRK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BIRK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.8x
Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy
Q3 20241.6xHealthy

BIRK's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

BIRK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.6Neutral
Stochastic39.8Neutral

BIRK's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

BIRK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBIRKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.1% below
PE %20299 pts below

BIRK has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has stronger trend alignment. AMZN is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus BIRK above 1 of 4.

BIRK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.24.4% above
20 week MA$36.72.6% below
50 week MA$38.88.1% below
100 week MA$44.319% below

BIRK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 19% below its 100-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over BIRK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BIRK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$36.4$48.7+34%
2024$48.7$59.1+21%
2025$59.1$42.4-28%
2026 YTD$42.4$35.7-16%

BIRK has finished higher in two of the last three years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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