AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over BGSI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BGSI

Boyd Group Services Inc.

60
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

BGSI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

BGSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

BGSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over BGSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BGSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$74.46—
Cheap119x$56.01-25%
Fair142x$66.59-11%
Current160x$74.46—
Expensive171x$80.22+7.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BGSI's PE is 160x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

BGSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BGSI, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BGSI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BGSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$95.47
Downside-21%$58.83

Calculated from the latest close: $74.46 on Nov 12.

BGSI trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over BGSI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BGSI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.96+743%
Q2 2026$0.47+27%
Q1 2026$0.67+8.1%
Q4 2025$0.83-27%
Q3 2025$0.74-61%

BGSI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.47 over the past year, against $1.91 in late 2024.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over BGSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BGSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1B+30%
Q1 2026$982.9M+26%
Q4 2025$793.9M+5.5%
Q3 2025$790.2M+5%
Q2 2025$780.4M+0.2%
Q1 2025$778.3M-1%
Q4 2024$752.3M+1.7%

BGSI's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

BGSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$88.3M+1.1%
Q1 2026$96M+77%
Q4 2025$62.1M-1.9%
Q3 2025$83.7M+77%
Q2 2025$87.4M+45%
Q1 2025$54.3M-13%
Q4 2024$63.2M-25%

BGSI has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over BGSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BGSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+68.3K shares
1 year+30%+6.4M shares

BGSI has 28M diluted shares, up 30% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over BGSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BGSI Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20265.4xHigh
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.9xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh
Q3 20244.3xHigh

BGSI's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

BGSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.6Neutral
Stochastic21.0Neutral

BGSI's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over BGSI on valuation relative to its sector.

BGSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBGSISector medianRelative
PE160x18x786% above
PE %811368 pts above

BGSI is trading at 160x earnings, a 786% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has stronger trend alignment. AMZN is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus BGSI above 0 of 3.

BGSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.87.9% below
20 week MA$89.317% below
50 week MA$119.238% below

BGSI is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 50-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over BGSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BGSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$153.5$163.1+6.2%
2026 YTD$163.1$74.5-54%

BGSI has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 54% so far in 2026.

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