AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN has the edge over BALL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
BALL
Ball Corporation
BALL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
AMZN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
BALL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
BALL's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
AMZN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $267 | — |
| Forward | 27x | $267 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $415 | +55% |
| Fair | 60x | $745 | +179% |
| Expensive | 102x | $1,262 | +372% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMZN has the edge over BALL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BALL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $64.91 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $32.46 | -50% |
| Fair | 26x | $52.14 | -20% |
| Current | 33x | $64.91 | — |
| Expensive | 41x | $80.99 | +25% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BALL's PE is in its fair range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AMZN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.
BALL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BALL, with profitability holding steady.
AMZN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.87 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.37 | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.43 | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.17 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.08 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.56 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.14 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.53 | +91% |
AMZN has the edge over BALL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BALL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.30 | +118% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.97 | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.51 | +82% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.44 | +105% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.30 | -74% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.46 | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.93 | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.68 | -87% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.66 | +468% |
BALL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.97 over the past year, against $13.28 in early 2024.
AMZN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $200.6B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $181.5B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $213.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.2B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.7B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $155.7B | +8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $187.8B | +10% |
AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.5 points |
AMZN has the edge over BALL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BALL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $4B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.3B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.4B | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.1B | +7.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | -15% |
BALL's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.2B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.5% | -15 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.2% | +6.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.4% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2% | -8.6 points |
BALL's operating margin was −3.5% last quarter, down 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
AMZN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$34.8B | -8202% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.8B | -2757% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.2B | -$10.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9B | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $430M | -87% |
| Q2 2025 | $332M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$8B | -297% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.8B | -36% |
AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.
BALL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $32M | -88% |
| Q2 2026 | $467M | +98% |
| Q1 2026 | -$938M | -$192M |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +165% |
| Q3 2025 | $257M | -48% |
| Q2 2025 | $236M | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | -$746M | +$655M |
| Q4 2024 | $393M | -25% |
BALL has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AMZN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +26M shares |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +84M shares |
| 3 years | +3.5% | +371M shares |
| 5 years | +6.1% | +629M shares |
| Available history | +8.2% | +829M shares |
AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $3.3B |
BALL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.3M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -9.1M shares |
| 3 years | -17% | -53.5M shares |
| 5 years | -20% | -67.8M shares |
| Available history | -22% | -76.3M shares |
BALL has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $157M |
| Q2 2026 | $114M |
| Q1 2026 | $1M |
| Q4 2025 | $215M |
| Q3 2025 | $84M |
| Q2 2025 | $467M |
| Q1 2025 | $555M |
| Q4 2024 | $651M |
BALL spent $487M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 72% from the year before.
AMZN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
AMZN has the edge over BALL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BALL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
BALL's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.4 years a year ago.
AMZN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.0 | Neutral |
AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
BALL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.9 | Neutral |
BALL's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AMZN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 20% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
AMZN has the edge over BALL on valuation relative to its sector.
BALL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BALL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33x | 18x | 83% above |
| PE % | 61 | 47 | 14 pts above |
BALL is trading at 33x earnings, a 83% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
AMZN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $253.6 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $254.9 | 4.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $242.5 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $229.6 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $191.4 | 40% above |
AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.
BALL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $62.1 | 4.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $62.4 | 4% above |
| 50 week MA | $60.1 | 8% above |
| 100 week MA | $56.2 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $57.5 | 13% above |
BALL has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 13% above its 200-week average.
AMZN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $93.5 | $158.6 | +70% |
| 2021 | $158.6 | $171.1 | +7.8% |
| 2022 | $171.1 | $85.3 | -50% |
| 2023 | $85.3 | $151.9 | +78% |
| 2024 | $151.9 | $223.8 | +47% |
| 2025 | $223.8 | $232.5 | +3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $267.4 | +15% |
AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.
BALL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.7 | $92.3 | +43% |
| 2021 | $92.3 | $90.0 | -2.5% |
| 2022 | $90.0 | $51.6 | -43% |
| 2023 | $51.6 | $57.5 | +11% |
| 2024 | $57.5 | $55.8 | -2.9% |
| 2025 | $55.8 | $52.7 | -5.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.7 | $64.9 | +23% |
BALL has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.