AMWL

American Well Corporation

54
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

AMWL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over AMWL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AMWL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

AMWL's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AMWL PE Valuation

AMWL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMWL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AMWL's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over AMWL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

AMWL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$19.78
Downside-39%$7.33

Calculated from the latest close: $12.03 on Nov 12.

AMWL trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMWL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMWL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-47.60Q1 2024: $-24.20Q2 2024: $-20.96Q3 2024: $-14.23Q4 2024: $-13.88Q1 2025: $-10.07Q2 2025: $-7.95Q3 2025: $-7.08Q4 2025: $-5.96Q1 2026: $-5.43Q2 2026: $-4.78Q3 2026: $-3.45
Q4 2023: $-47.60Q1 2024: $-24.20Q2 2024: $-20.96Q3 2024: $-14.23Q4 2024: $-13.88Q1 2025: $-10.07Q2 2025: $-7.95Q3 2025: $-7.08Q4 2025: $-5.96Q1 2026: $-5.43Q2 2026: $-4.78Q3 2026: $-3.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.45+$3.63
Q2 2026-$4.78+$3.17
Q1 2026-$5.43+$4.64
Q4 2025-$5.96+$7.92
Q3 2025-$7.08+$7.15
Q2 2025-$7.95+$13.01
Q1 2025-$10.07+$14.13
Q4 2024-$13.88+$33.72

AMWL is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.45 per share over the past year, against $81.23 at its worst in late 2020.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over AMWL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AMWL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $49M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $49M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49M-13%
Q2 2026$52M-27%
Q1 2026$54.9M-18%
Q4 2025$55.3M-22%
Q3 2025$56.3M-7.8%
Q2 2025$70.9M+13%
Q1 2025$66.8M+12%
Q4 2024$71M+0.5%

AMWL's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $49M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over AMWL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMWL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$42MQ1 2024: −$60MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$19MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$988,000Q2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: −$12M
Q4 2023: −$42MQ1 2024: −$60MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$19MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$988,000Q2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: −$12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.7M+$7.1M
Q2 2026$10.7M+$15.4M
Q1 2026-$988K+$24.1M
Q4 2025-$17.4M-$3.9M
Q3 2025-$18.8M+$13.6M
Q2 2025-$4.7M+$17.1M
Q1 2025-$25.1M+$34.7M
Q4 2024-$13.4M+$28.2M

AMWL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$19M over the past year, against −$62M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over AMWL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMWL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.8%+299K shares
1 year+5.2%+845K shares
3 years+19%+2.8M shares
5 years+33%+4.2M shares
Available history+772%+15.1M shares

AMWL has 17M diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over AMWL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMWL Net Leverage

AMWL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AMWL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic37.6Neutral

AMWL's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AMWL PE vs Healthcare Sector

AMWL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

AMWL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.64.1% below
20 week MA$12.21.4% below
50 week MA$8.5341% above
100 week MA$7.9851% above
200 week MA$17.130% below

AMWL's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over AMWL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMWL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$460.4$595.0+29%
2021$595.0$128.6-78%
2022$128.6$61.6-52%
2023$61.6$29.8-52%
2024$29.8$7.80-74%
2025$7.80$4.55-42%
2026 YTD$4.55$12.0+164%

AMWL has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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