AMTM

Amentum Holdings, Inc.

53
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

AMTM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over AMTM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

AMTM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

AMTM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMTM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x145x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x145x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.6x$22.15—
Cheap26x$21.30-3.8%
Current27x$22.15—
Fair39x$32.14+45%
Expensive108x$89.29+303%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMTM's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.6x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMTM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect AMTM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over AMTM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

AMTM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$30.00
Downside-22%$17.18

Calculated from the latest close: $22.15 on Nov 12.

AMTM trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMTM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMTM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.68Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.70Q2 2024: $1.67Q3 2024: $-1.69Q4 2024: $-2.36Q1 2025: $-3.06Q2 2025: $-2.85Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.60Q3 2026: $0.83Forward: $2.58
Q3 2023: $0.68Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.70Q2 2024: $1.67Q3 2024: $-1.69Q4 2024: $-2.36Q1 2025: $-3.06Q2 2025: $-2.85Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.60Q3 2026: $0.83Forward: $2.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.58+211%
Q2 2026$0.83+$3.68
Q1 2026$0.60+$3.66
Q4 2025$0.40+$2.76
Q3 2025$0.27+$1.96
Q2 2025-$2.85-271%
Q1 2025-$3.06-280%
Q4 2024-$2.36-298%
Q3 2024-$1.69-349%

AMTM has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

AMTM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.5B
Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.5B-2%
Q1 2026$3.5B-0.4%
Q4 2025$3.2B-5.2%
Q3 2025$3.9B-7.5%
Q2 2025$3.6B+66%
Q1 2025$3.5B+145%
Q4 2024$3.4B+151%
Q3 2024$4.2B+189%

AMTM's revenue fell from its 2024 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over AMTM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMTM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $99MQ4 2023: −$85MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: −$117MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$142MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $135M
Q3 2023: $99MQ4 2023: −$85MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: −$117MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$142MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$135M+35%
Q1 2026$220M+315%
Q4 2025-$142M-239%
Q3 2025$261M+$378.2M
Q2 2025$100M-58%
Q1 2025$53M+2550%
Q4 2024$102M+$187M
Q3 2024-$117.2M-218%

AMTM has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

AMTM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 167MQ4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 90MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 243MQ1 2025: 243MQ2 2025: 243MQ4 2025: 244MQ1 2026: 244MQ2 2026: 245MQ3 2026: 245M
Q3 2023: 167MQ4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 90MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 243MQ1 2025: 243MQ2 2025: 243MQ4 2025: 244MQ1 2026: 244MQ2 2026: 245MQ3 2026: 245M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.8%+2M shares
3 years+0.7%+1.7M shares

AMTM has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

AMTM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 9.3xQ4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: 9.4xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q3 2023: 9.3xQ4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: 9.4xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20254.4xHigh
Q1 20255.4xHigh
Q4 20246.6xHigh
Q3 20249.4xHigh

AMTM's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AMTM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic54.9Neutral

AMTM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

AMTM PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAMTMSector medianRelative
PE27x24x11% above
PE %26326 pts below

AMTM is trading at 27x earnings, a 11% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMTM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.48.6% above
20 week MA$20.96% above
50 week MA$25.212% below
100 week MA$23.76.5% below

RKLB has stronger trend alignment. AMTM is above 2 of 4 weekly averages versus RKLB above 3 of 5.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

AMTM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$25.7$20.5-20%
2025$20.5$29.7+45%
2026 YTD$29.7$22.2-25%

AMTM has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over AMTM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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