AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
AMTM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over AMTM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
AMTM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
AMTM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AMTM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.6x | $22.15 | — |
| Cheap | 26x | $21.30 | -3.8% |
| Current | 27x | $22.15 | — |
| Fair | 39x | $32.14 | +45% |
| Expensive | 108x | $89.29 | +303% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMTM's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.6x next year's earnings.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AMTM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect AMTM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over AMTM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
AMTM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.58 | +211% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.83 | +$3.68 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.60 | +$3.66 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.40 | +$2.76 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.27 | +$1.96 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.85 | -271% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.06 | -280% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.36 | -298% |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.69 | -349% |
AMTM has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
AMTM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.5B | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.2B | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.9B | -7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | +66% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B | +145% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.4B | +151% |
| Q3 2024 | $4.2B | +189% |
AMTM's revenue fell from its 2024 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.9% | +2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.3% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1% | -3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9% | -2.6 points |
| Q3 2024 | 0.6% | -6 points |
AMTM has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AMTM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $135M | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $220M | +315% |
| Q4 2025 | -$142M | -239% |
| Q3 2025 | $261M | +$378.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $100M | -58% |
| Q1 2025 | $53M | +2550% |
| Q4 2024 | $102M | +$187M |
| Q3 2024 | -$117.2M | -218% |
AMTM has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
AMTM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +2M shares |
| 3 years | +0.7% | +1.7M shares |
AMTM has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
AMTM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 6.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 9.4x | High |
AMTM's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AMTM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 54.9 | Neutral |
AMTM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AMTM PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AMTM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 24x | 11% above |
| PE % | 26 | 32 | 6 pts below |
AMTM is trading at 27x earnings, a 11% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AMTM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.4 | 8.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $20.9 | 6% above |
| 50 week MA | $25.2 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $23.7 | 6.5% below |
AMTM has stronger trend alignment. AMTM is above 2 of 4 weekly averages versus RDW above 0 of 5.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
AMTM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $25.7 | $20.5 | -20% |
| 2025 | $20.5 | $29.7 | +45% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.7 | $22.2 | -25% |
AMTM has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over AMTM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.