AMR

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.

50
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

AMR lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve.

AMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

AMR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AMR PE Valuation

AMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

AMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect AMR to return to profit, with revenue growing.

AMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$229.85
Downside-32%$105.27

Calculated from the latest close: $155.41 on Nov 12.

AMR's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +48% against −32%.

AMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $49.30Q1 2024: $41.88Q2 2024: $34.21Q3 2024: $27.85Q4 2024: $14.28Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $-2.78Q3 2025: $-3.49Q4 2025: $-4.75Q1 2026: $-3.01Q2 2026: $-3.59Q3 2026: $-3.90Forward: $7.86
Q4 2023: $49.30Q1 2024: $41.88Q2 2024: $34.21Q3 2024: $27.85Q4 2024: $14.28Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $-2.78Q3 2025: $-3.49Q4 2025: $-4.75Q1 2026: $-3.01Q2 2026: $-3.59Q3 2026: $-3.90Forward: $7.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.86—
Q3 2026-$3.90-$0.41
Q2 2026-$3.59-$0.81
Q1 2026-$3.01-244%
Q4 2025-$4.75-133%
Q3 2025-$3.49-113%
Q2 2025-$2.78-108%
Q1 2025$2.09-95%
Q4 2024$14.28-71%

AMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.90 per share over the past year, against $26.70 at its worst in late 2020.

AMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $864MQ2 2024: $804MQ3 2024: $672MQ4 2024: $617MQ1 2025: $532MQ2 2025: $550MQ3 2025: $527MQ4 2025: $520MQ1 2026: $525MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $562M
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $864MQ2 2024: $804MQ3 2024: $672MQ4 2024: $617MQ1 2025: $532MQ2 2025: $550MQ3 2025: $527MQ4 2025: $520MQ1 2026: $525MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $562M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$562.2M+6.7%
Q2 2026$492.9M-10%
Q1 2026$525M-1.3%
Q4 2025$520.5M-16%
Q3 2025$526.8M-22%
Q2 2025$550.3M-32%
Q1 2025$532M-38%
Q4 2024$617.3M-36%

AMR's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $562M last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $132MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $158MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $132MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $158MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.1M-49%
Q2 2026-$5.3M-128%
Q1 2026-$11.6M+$4.6M
Q4 2025-$10M-174%
Q3 2025$25.4M-84%
Q2 2025$18.6M-76%
Q1 2025-$16.3M-112%
Q4 2024$13.6M-90%

AMR's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$14M over the past year.

AMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-29.8K shares
1 year-2.5%-331K shares
3 years-10%-1.4M shares
5 years-33%-6.2M shares
Available history-30%-5.5M shares

AMR has 13M diluted shares, down 2.5% from a year ago.

AMR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -3.0xQ3 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -3.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -3.1x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -3.0xQ3 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -3.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.2xNet Cash

AMR has more cash than debt.

AMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.2Neutral
Stochastic17.0Oversold

AMR's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

AMR PE vs Energy Sector

MetricAMRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

AMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$165.15.8% below
20 week MA$170.79% below
50 week MA$185.616% below
100 week MA$165.76.2% below
200 week MA$204.824% below

AMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% below its 200-week average.

AMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.08$12.4+36%
2021$12.4$56.3+354%
2022$56.3$150.7+168%
2023$150.7$338.9+125%
2024$338.9$199.0-41%
2025$199.0$205.1+3.1%
2026 YTD$205.1$155.4-24%

AMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +354% in 2021 to −41% in 2024. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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