AMPL

Amplitude, Inc.

62
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

AMPL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over AMPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AMPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable

AMPL's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AMPL PE Valuation

AMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

AMPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AMPL has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

AMPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$29.33
Downside-40%$10.41

Calculated from the latest close: $17.33 on Nov 12.

AMPL trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMPL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.77Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.66Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.67Q2 2026: $-0.75Q3 2026: $-0.76Forward: $0.15
Q4 2023: $-0.77Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.66Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.67Q2 2026: $-0.75Q3 2026: $-0.76Forward: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.15—
Q3 2026-$0.76+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.75$0.00
Q1 2026-$0.67+$0.08
Q4 2025-$0.67+$0.09
Q3 2025-$0.79-$0.13
Q2 2025-$0.75-$0.08
Q1 2025-$0.75-$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.76+$0.01

AMPL is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.76 per share over the past year, against $1.15 at its worst in late 2021.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over AMPL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AMPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $111M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $111M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$110.6M+25%
Q2 2026$100.9M+21%
Q1 2026$93.5M+17%
Q4 2025$91.4M+17%
Q3 2025$88.6M+18%
Q2 2025$83.3M+14%
Q1 2025$80M+10%
Q4 2024$78.1M+9.4%

AMPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $111M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over AMPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$405,000Q2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$405,000Q2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.6M+47%
Q2 2026$24.3M+25%
Q1 2026-$12M-$3.6M
Q4 2025$12.7M+425%
Q3 2025$4.5M-27%
Q2 2025$19.5M+126%
Q1 2025-$8.5M-$8.1M
Q4 2024$2.4M+18%

AMPL generated $32M in free cash flow over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over AMPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 124MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 126M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 124MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 126M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-3.4M shares
1 year-5.3%-7M shares
3 years+6.9%+8.1M shares
5 years+23%+23.5M shares
Available history+413%+101M shares

AMPL has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

AMPL Net Leverage

AMPL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AMPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.9Neutral
Stochastic83.5Overbought

AMPL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

AMPL PE vs Technology Sector

AMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AMPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.99.3% above
20 week MA$13.132% above
50 week MA$10.171% above
100 week MA$10.663% above
200 week MA$10.762% above

AMPL has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

AMPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$54.5$57.1+4.8%
2022$57.1$11.1-81%
2023$11.1$12.7+15%
2024$12.7$10.7-16%
2025$10.7$11.9+12%
2026 YTD$11.9$17.3+45%

AMPL has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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