AMPL
Amplitude, Inc.
AMPL offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over AMPL overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
AMPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable |
AMPL's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AMPL PE Valuation
AMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
AMPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AMPL has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
AMPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.15 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.76 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.75 | $0.00 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.67 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.67 | +$0.09 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.79 | -$0.13 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.75 | -$0.08 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.75 | -$0.03 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.76 | +$0.01 |
AMPL is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.76 per share over the past year, against $1.15 at its worst in late 2021.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over AMPL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AMPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $110.6M | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $100.9M | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $93.5M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $91.4M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $88.6M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $83.3M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $80M | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $78.1M | +9.4% |
AMPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $111M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -22% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -35% | -5.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -24% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -18% | +23 points |
| Q3 2025 | -26% | -4.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -29% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | -27% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -41% | -16 points |
AMPL's operating margin was −22% last quarter, up 3.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over AMPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over AMPL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AMPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.6M | +47% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.3M | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | -$12M | -$3.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $12.7M | +425% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.5M | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.5M | +126% |
| Q1 2025 | -$8.5M | -$8.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4M | +18% |
AMPL has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
AMPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.6% | -3.4M shares |
| 1 year | -5.3% | -7M shares |
| 3 years | +6.9% | +8.1M shares |
| 5 years | +23% | +23.5M shares |
| Available history | +413% | +101M shares |
AMPL has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $68.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $20.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q2 2021 | $1.1M |
| Q1 2021 | $287,000 |
AMPL spent $106M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
AMPL Net Leverage
AMPL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AMPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 83.5 | Overbought |
AMPL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
AMPL PE vs Technology Sector
AMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AMPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.9 | 9.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $13.1 | 32% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.1 | 71% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.6 | 63% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.7 | 62% above |
AMPL has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
AMPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $54.5 | $57.1 | +4.8% |
| 2022 | $57.1 | $11.1 | -81% |
| 2023 | $11.1 | $12.7 | +15% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $10.7 | -16% |
| 2025 | $10.7 | $11.9 | +12% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.9 | $17.3 | +45% |
AMPL has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.