AMPL

Amplitude, Inc.

62
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

AMPL has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable

AMPL's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMPL PE Valuation

AMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMPL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$29.33
Downside-40%$10.41

Calculated from the latest close: $17.33 on Nov 12.

AMPL trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.77Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.66Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.67Q2 2026: $-0.75Q3 2026: $-0.76Forward: $0.15
Q4 2023: $-0.77Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.66Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.67Q2 2026: $-0.75Q3 2026: $-0.76Forward: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.15—
Q3 2026-$0.76+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.75$0.00
Q1 2026-$0.67+$0.08
Q4 2025-$0.67+$0.09
Q3 2025-$0.79-$0.13
Q2 2025-$0.75-$0.08
Q1 2025-$0.75-$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.76+$0.01

AMPL has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

AMPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $111M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $111M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$110.6M+25%
Q2 2026$100.9M+21%
Q1 2026$93.5M+17%
Q4 2025$91.4M+17%
Q3 2025$88.6M+18%
Q2 2025$83.3M+14%
Q1 2025$80M+10%
Q4 2024$78.1M+9.4%

AMPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $111M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$405,000Q2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$405,000Q2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.6M+47%
Q2 2026$24.3M+25%
Q1 2026-$12M-$3.6M
Q4 2025$12.7M+425%
Q3 2025$4.5M-27%
Q2 2025$19.5M+126%
Q1 2025-$8.5M-$8.1M
Q4 2024$2.4M+18%

AMPL has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

AMPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 124MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 126M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 124MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 126M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-3.4M shares
1 year-5.3%-7M shares
3 years+6.9%+8.1M shares
5 years+23%+23.5M shares
Available history+413%+101M shares

AMPL has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

AMPL Net Leverage

AMPL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AMPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.9Neutral
Stochastic83.5Overbought

AMPL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AMPL PE vs Technology Sector

AMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.99.3% above
20 week MA$13.132% above
50 week MA$10.171% above
100 week MA$10.663% above
200 week MA$10.762% above

AMPL has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

AMPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$54.5$57.1+4.8%
2022$57.1$11.1-81%
2023$11.1$12.7+15%
2024$12.7$10.7-16%
2025$10.7$11.9+12%
2026 YTD$11.9$17.3+45%

AMPL has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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