AMPH

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

61
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

AMPH offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has a slight edge over AMPH overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

AMPH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

AMPH's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

AMPH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.8x$28.87—
Cheap12x$25.21-13%
Current13x$28.87—
Fair19x$40.83+41%
Expensive89x$196+578%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMPH has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMPH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMPH, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMPH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$37.17
Downside-23%$22.37

Calculated from the latest close: $28.87 on Nov 12.

AMPH trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMPH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMPH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.60Q1 2024: $2.91Q2 2024: $3.15Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.06Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $2.26Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $1.66Q2 2026: $1.69Q3 2026: $2.19Forward: $3.28
Q4 2023: $2.60Q1 2024: $2.91Q2 2024: $3.15Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.06Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $2.26Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $1.66Q2 2026: $1.69Q3 2026: $2.19Forward: $3.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.28+50%
Q3 2026$2.19-3.1%
Q2 2026$1.69-37%
Q1 2026$1.66-40%
Q4 2025$2.03-34%
Q3 2025$2.26-25%
Q2 2025$2.67-15%
Q1 2025$2.76-5.2%
Q4 2024$3.06+18%

AMPH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.19 over the past year, against $3.15 in mid-2024.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over AMPH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMPH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $172MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $191MQ4 2024: $187MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: $171MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $208M
Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $172MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $191MQ4 2024: $187MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: $171MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $208M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$207.6M+8.2%
Q2 2026$183.9M+5.4%
Q1 2026$171.2M+0.4%
Q4 2025$183.1M-1.8%
Q3 2025$191.8M+0.3%
Q2 2025$174.4M-4.4%
Q1 2025$170.5M-0.8%
Q4 2024$186.5M+4.7%

AMPH's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $208M last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over AMPH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMPH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.4M-29%
Q2 2026$42.7M+71%
Q1 2026$38.3M+57%
Q4 2025$24.6M+48%
Q3 2025$47.2M+2.3%
Q2 2025$25M-60%
Q1 2025$24.4M-48%
Q4 2024$16.6M+15%

AMPH generated $139M in free cash flow over the past year, up 23% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

AMPH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-848K shares
1 year-9%-4.3M shares
3 years-20%-10.5M shares
5 years-13%-6.6M shares
Available history-7.4%-3.5M shares

AMPH has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

AMPH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.8xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

AMPH's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.9 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over AMPH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMPH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.2Neutral
Stochastic86.2Overbought

AMPH's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

AMPH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAMPHSector medianRelative
PE13x26x49% below
PE %25294 pts below

AMPH has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

AMPH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.87.8% above
20 week MA$23.424% above
50 week MA$23.026% above
100 week MA$25.314% above
200 week MA$35.819% below

AMPH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 19% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

AMPH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.2$19.1-0.3%
2021$19.1$22.6+18%
2022$22.6$28.7+27%
2023$28.7$61.9+116%
2024$61.9$37.8-39%
2025$37.8$27.1-28%
2026 YTD$27.1$28.9+6.5%

AMPH has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 6.5% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over AMPH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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