AMP

Ameriprise Financial, Inc.

65
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMP has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

AMP's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AMP.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

AMP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.1x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$460-10%
Forward10x$513—
Current12x$513—
Fair14x$624+22%
Expensive17x$770+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMP has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

AMP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMP, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

AMP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$635.57
Downside-11%$458.90

Calculated from the latest close: $513.48 on Nov 12.

AMP trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.71Q1 2024: $29.38Q2 2024: $29.19Q3 2024: $26.05Q4 2024: $33.05Q1 2025: $29.42Q2 2025: $32.13Q3 2025: $36.46Q4 2025: $36.28Q1 2026: $40.13Q2 2026: $41.38Q3 2026: $44.37Forward: $50.19
Q4 2023: $23.71Q1 2024: $29.38Q2 2024: $29.19Q3 2024: $26.05Q4 2024: $33.05Q1 2025: $29.42Q2 2025: $32.13Q3 2025: $36.46Q4 2025: $36.28Q1 2026: $40.13Q2 2026: $41.38Q3 2026: $44.37Forward: $50.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$50.19+13%
Q3 2026$44.37+22%
Q2 2026$41.38+29%
Q1 2026$40.13+36%
Q4 2025$36.28+9.8%
Q3 2025$36.46+40%
Q2 2025$32.13+10%
Q1 2025$29.42+0.1%
Q4 2024$33.05+39%

AMP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $44.37 over the past year, up 22% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over AMP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $5BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $5BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+6.8%
Q2 2026$4.9B+13%
Q1 2026$4.8B+11%
Q4 2025$5B+10%
Q3 2025$4.8B+9%
Q2 2025$4.4B+3.7%
Q1 2025$4.4B+5%
Q4 2024$4.5B+13%

AMP's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $5.1B last quarter, up 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over AMP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $430MQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $430MQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-34%
Q2 2026$2.8B+65%
Q1 2026$430M-74%
Q4 2025$2.6B+708%
Q3 2025$2.2B-28%
Q2 2025$1.7B+1.4%
Q1 2025$1.7B+19%
Q4 2024$325M-84%

AMP has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

AMP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 106MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 103MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 98MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 91M
Q4 2023: 106MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 103MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 98MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 91M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-1.5M shares
1 year-6.5%-6.4M shares
3 years-15%-15.7M shares
5 years-23%-27.8M shares
Available history-30%-39.9M shares

AMP has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

AMP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -3.1xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -2.3xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.4xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -2.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -3.1xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -2.3xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.4xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -2.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash

AMP has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

AMP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.5Neutral
Stochastic25.4Neutral

AMP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

AMP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAMPSector medianRelative
PE12x13x11% below
PE %216342 pts below

AMP has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AMP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$497.93.1% above
20 week MA$524.02% below
50 week MA$493.14.1% above
100 week MA$498.03.1% above
200 week MA$443.416% above

AMP has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

AMP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$166.7$189.7+14%
2021$189.7$302.3+59%
2022$302.3$308.3+2%
2023$308.3$379.8+23%
2024$379.8$536.0+41%
2025$536.0$501.8-6.4%
2026 YTD$501.8$513.5+2.3%

AMP has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 2.3% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over AMP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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