AMN

AMN Healthcare Services, Inc.

44
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation19/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

AMN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over AMN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

AMN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$29.74-21%
Current14x$37.42—
Fair16x$42.98+15%
Expensive32x$88.16+136%
Forward40x$37.42—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMN has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AMN's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over AMN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

AMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$45.96
Downside-52%$17.96

Calculated from the latest close: $37.42 on Nov 12.

AMN trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.36Q1 2024: $3.79Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $1.45Q4 2024: $-3.85Q1 2025: $-4.33Q2 2025: $-7.77Q3 2025: $-7.19Q4 2025: $-2.48Q1 2026: $-0.86Q2 2026: $2.69Q3 2026: $2.76Forward: $0.93
Q4 2023: $5.36Q1 2024: $3.79Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $1.45Q4 2024: $-3.85Q1 2025: $-4.33Q2 2025: $-7.77Q3 2025: $-7.19Q4 2025: $-2.48Q1 2026: $-0.86Q2 2026: $2.69Q3 2026: $2.76Forward: $0.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.93-66%
Q3 2026$2.76+$9.95
Q2 2026$2.69+$10.46
Q1 2026-$0.86+$3.47
Q4 2025-$2.48+$1.37
Q3 2025-$7.19-596%
Q2 2025-$7.77-392%
Q1 2025-$4.33-214%
Q4 2024-$3.85-172%

AMN has returned to profit: it earned $2.76 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.83
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.83+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over AMN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $818MQ1 2024: $821MQ2 2024: $741MQ3 2024: $688MQ4 2024: $735MQ1 2025: $690MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $634MQ4 2025: $748MQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $673MQ3 2026: $717M
Q4 2023: $818MQ1 2024: $821MQ2 2024: $741MQ3 2024: $688MQ4 2024: $735MQ1 2025: $690MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $634MQ4 2025: $748MQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $673MQ3 2026: $717M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$717.3M+13%
Q2 2026$673.2M+2.3%
Q1 2026$1.4B+100%
Q4 2025$748.2M+1.8%
Q3 2025$634.5M-7.7%
Q2 2025$658.2M-11%
Q1 2025$689.5M-16%
Q4 2024$734.7M-10%

AMN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $717M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over AMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $69MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $555MQ2 2026: −$198MQ3 2026: −$97M
Q4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $69MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $555MQ2 2026: −$198MQ3 2026: −$97M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$97.3M-760%
Q2 2026-$198.5M-389%
Q1 2026$555.2M+571%
Q4 2025$67.6M+19%
Q3 2025$14.8M-69%
Q2 2025$68.7M-4.8%
Q1 2025$82.7M+31%
Q4 2024$56.6M+$127.6M

AMN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$97M, but it generated $327M over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over AMN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 40M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+433K shares
1 year+3.8%+1.5M shares
3 years+4.8%+1.8M shares
5 years-16%-7.9M shares
Available history-16%-7.4M shares

AMN has 40M diluted shares, up 3.8% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over AMN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 15.5xQ1 2025: 26.5xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 15.5xQ1 2025: 26.5xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20257.6xHigh
Q1 202526.5xHigh
Q4 202415.5xHigh
Q3 20243.6xElevated
Q2 20243.1xElevated

AMN's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over AMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.9Neutral
Stochastic50.2Neutral

AMN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AMN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAMNSector medianRelative
PE14x26x48% below
PE %402911 pts above

AMN has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

AMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.65.6% below
20 week MA$36.33% above
50 week MA$27.536% above
100 week MA$24.553% above
200 week MA$47.421% below

AMN's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over AMN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.7$69.3+12%
2021$69.3$122.3+77%
2022$122.3$103.5-15%
2023$103.5$74.9-28%
2024$74.9$24.2-68%
2025$24.2$16.1-34%
2026 YTD$16.1$37.4+132%

AMN has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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