AMGN

Amgen Inc.

65
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AMGN has a slight edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

AMGN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

AMGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$319-32%
Forward19x$467—
Fair22x$381-18%
Expensive27x$465-0.5%
Current27x$467—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMGN has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

AMGN has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$556.06
Downside-13%$406.89

Calculated from the latest close: $467.06 on Nov 12.

AMGN trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMGN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.49Q1 2024: $7.00Q2 2024: $5.81Q3 2024: $7.81Q4 2024: $7.56Q1 2025: $10.97Q2 2025: $12.24Q3 2025: $12.95Q4 2025: $14.23Q1 2026: $14.37Q2 2026: $16.09Q3 2026: $17.24Forward: $24.33
Q4 2023: $12.49Q1 2024: $7.00Q2 2024: $5.81Q3 2024: $7.81Q4 2024: $7.56Q1 2025: $10.97Q2 2025: $12.24Q3 2025: $12.95Q4 2025: $14.23Q1 2026: $14.37Q2 2026: $16.09Q3 2026: $17.24Forward: $24.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.33+41%
Q3 2026$17.24+33%
Q2 2026$16.09+31%
Q1 2026$14.37+31%
Q4 2025$14.23+88%
Q3 2025$12.95+66%
Q2 2025$12.24+111%
Q1 2025$10.97+57%
Q4 2024$7.56-39%

AMGN has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

AMGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.2BQ1 2024: $7.4BQ2 2024: $8.4BQ3 2024: $8.5BQ4 2024: $9.1BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.2BQ3 2025: $9.6BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $8.6BQ2 2026: $10.1BQ3 2026: $10.4B
Q4 2023: $8.2BQ1 2024: $7.4BQ2 2024: $8.4BQ3 2024: $8.5BQ4 2024: $9.1BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.2BQ3 2025: $9.6BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $8.6BQ2 2026: $10.1BQ3 2026: $10.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.4B+8.5%
Q2 2026$10.1B+9.5%
Q1 2026$8.6B+5.8%
Q4 2025$9.9B+8.6%
Q3 2025$9.6B+12%
Q2 2025$9.2B+9.4%
Q1 2025$8.1B+9.4%
Q4 2024$9.1B+11%

AMGN has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AMGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $459MQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $4.4BQ1 2025: $980MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $961MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $289MQ1 2024: $459MQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $4.4BQ1 2025: $980MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $961MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-14%
Q2 2026$3.5B+83%
Q1 2026$1.5B+51%
Q4 2025$961M-78%
Q3 2025$4.2B+28%
Q2 2025$1.9B-14%
Q1 2025$980M+114%
Q4 2024$4.4B+1422%

AMGN's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $9.6B over the past year, down 17% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

AMGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 538MQ1 2024: 536MQ2 2024: 541MQ3 2024: 542MQ4 2024: 541MQ1 2025: 541MQ2 2025: 541MQ3 2025: 542MQ4 2025: 542MQ1 2026: 544MQ2 2026: 544MQ3 2026: 546M
Q4 2023: 538MQ1 2024: 536MQ2 2024: 541MQ3 2024: 542MQ4 2024: 541MQ1 2025: 541MQ2 2025: 541MQ3 2025: 542MQ4 2025: 542MQ1 2026: 544MQ2 2026: 544MQ3 2026: 546M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+2M shares
1 year+0.7%+4M shares
3 years+1.5%+8M shares
5 years-4.2%-24M shares
Available history-10%-63M shares

AMGN has 546M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over AMGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.5xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 4.5xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20243.8xElevated

AMGN's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over AMGN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.2Neutral
Stochastic84.5Overbought

AMGN's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

AMGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAMGNSector medianRelative
PE27x26x4.8% above
PE %842955 pts above

AMGN is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over AMGN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$437.26.8% above
20 week MA$413.113% above
50 week MA$373.025% above
100 week MA$332.640% above
200 week MA$304.853% above

AMGN has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

AMGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$241.5$222.9-7.7%
2021$222.9$223.8+0.4%
2022$223.8$263.9+18%
2023$263.9$288.0+9.1%
2024$288.0$262.7-8.8%
2025$262.7$332.9+27%
2026 YTD$332.9$467.1+40%

AMGN has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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