AMG
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
AMG has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AMG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AMG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AMG.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
AMG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.7x | $246 | -38% |
| Forward | 9.3x | $393 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $353 | -10% |
| Current | 14x | $393 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $555 | +41% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMG's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over AMG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AMG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMG, with profitability improving.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
AMG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $42.30 | +49% |
| Q3 2026 | $28.30 | +68% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.53 | +108% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.38 | +85% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.74 | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.82 | +9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.73 | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.19 | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.13 | -13% |
AMG earned $28.30 per share over the past year, up 68% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over AMG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AMG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $595.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $640.7M | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $544.9M | +9.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $556.6M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $528M | +2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $493.2M | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $496.6M | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $524.3M | +4.3% |
AMG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $595M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 54% | -14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +13 points |
| Q1 2026 | 35% | +9.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 94% | +42 points |
| Q3 2025 | 69% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | -25 points |
| Q4 2024 | 52% | -2.3 points |
AMG has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over AMG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AMG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $360.1M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $239M | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $295.5M | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $254.5M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $275.9M | +4.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $229.4M | -6.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $207.3M | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $211.4M | -15% |
AMG has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
AMG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3% | -800K shares |
| 1 year | -21% | -6.8M shares |
| 3 years | -38% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -43% | -19.3M shares |
| Available history | -48% | -24.5M shares |
AMG has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $402.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $179.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $185.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $353.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $75.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $101.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $176.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $120.3M |
AMG spent $1.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 137% from the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
AMG Net Leverage
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
AMG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.0 | Neutral |
AMG's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
AMG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AMG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 6.8% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
AMG has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
AMG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $379.7 | 3.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $369.8 | 6.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $328.5 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $264.2 | 49% above |
| 200 week MA | $209.8 | 88% above |
AMG has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
AMG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $85.0 | $101.7 | +20% |
| 2021 | $101.7 | $160.8 | +58% |
| 2022 | $160.8 | $156.9 | -2.4% |
| 2023 | $156.9 | $151.4 | -3.5% |
| 2024 | $151.4 | $187.6 | +24% |
| 2025 | $187.6 | $296.1 | +58% |
| 2026 YTD | $296.1 | $393.5 | +33% |
AMG has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.