AME

AMETEK, Inc.

63
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AME offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has a slight edge over AME overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

AME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Stable

AME's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$241—
Cheap27x$189-21%
Fair30x$212-12%
Current34x$241—
Expensive35x$247+2.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AME has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AME, but weaker profitability.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over AME on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$287.54
Downside-11%$213.83

Calculated from the latest close: $241.04 on Nov 12.

AME trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AME, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.67Q1 2024: $5.69Q2 2024: $5.74Q3 2024: $5.74Q4 2024: $5.93Q1 2025: $6.11Q2 2025: $6.21Q3 2025: $6.34Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.62Q2 2026: $6.84Q3 2026: $7.09Forward: $9.24
Q4 2023: $5.67Q1 2024: $5.69Q2 2024: $5.74Q3 2024: $5.74Q4 2024: $5.93Q1 2025: $6.11Q2 2025: $6.21Q3 2025: $6.34Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.62Q2 2026: $6.84Q3 2026: $7.09Forward: $9.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.24+30%
Q3 2026$7.09+12%
Q2 2026$6.84+10%
Q1 2026$6.62+8.3%
Q4 2025$6.40+7.9%
Q3 2025$6.34+10%
Q2 2025$6.21+8.2%
Q1 2025$6.11+7.4%
Q4 2024$5.93+4.6%

AME has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

AME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+17%
Q2 2026$2B+15%
Q1 2026$1.9B+11%
Q4 2025$2B+13%
Q3 2025$1.9B+11%
Q2 2025$1.8B+2.5%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.2%
Q4 2024$1.8B+1.8%

AME's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

AME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $481MQ1 2024: $383MQ2 2024: $360MQ3 2024: $461MQ4 2024: $498MQ1 2025: $394MQ2 2025: $330MQ3 2025: $420MQ4 2025: $527MQ1 2026: $426MQ2 2026: $452MQ3 2026: $527M
Q4 2023: $481MQ1 2024: $383MQ2 2024: $360MQ3 2024: $461MQ4 2024: $498MQ1 2025: $394MQ2 2025: $330MQ3 2025: $420MQ4 2025: $527MQ1 2026: $426MQ2 2026: $452MQ3 2026: $527M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$527.4M+26%
Q2 2026$451.7M+37%
Q1 2026$426M+8%
Q4 2025$527.3M+5.8%
Q3 2025$420M-8.9%
Q2 2025$329.8M-8.4%
Q1 2025$394.5M+3.1%
Q4 2024$498.3M+3.6%

AME has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

AME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 232MQ2 2024: 232MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 232MQ1 2025: 232MQ2 2025: 231MQ3 2025: 232MQ4 2025: 231MQ1 2026: 230MQ2 2026: 230MQ3 2026: 230M
Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 232MQ2 2024: 232MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 232MQ1 2025: 232MQ2 2025: 231MQ3 2025: 232MQ4 2025: 231MQ1 2026: 230MQ2 2026: 230MQ3 2026: 230M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+185K shares
1 year-0.7%-1.6M shares
3 years-0.7%-1.7M shares
5 years-1.3%-3M shares
Available history+0.3%+645K shares

AME has 230M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over AME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AME Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

AME's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over AME on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic33.8Neutral

AME's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

AME PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAMESector medianRelative
PE34x24x41% above
PE %785820 pts above

AME is trading at 34x earnings, a 41% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over AME on valuation relative to its sector.

AME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$243.81.1% below
20 week MA$242.10.4% below
50 week MA$230.34.7% above
100 week MA$205.817% above
200 week MA$183.731% above

AME has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

AME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.0$119.0+19%
2021$119.0$142.6+20%
2022$142.6$139.4-2.2%
2023$139.4$164.9+18%
2024$164.9$182.5+11%
2025$182.5$208.5+14%
2026 YTD$208.5$241.0+16%

AME has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

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