AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
AMD has the edge over STEM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
STEM
Stem, Inc.
STEM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
AMD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
STEM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
STEM's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
AMD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 39x | $585 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $182 | -69% |
| Fair | 112x | $514 | -12% |
| Current | 127x | $585 | — |
| Expensive | 206x | $947 | +62% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
STEM PE Valuation
STEM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AMD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
STEM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect STEM's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AMD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.05 | +227% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.60 | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +122% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.05 | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.65 | +165% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.03 | +81% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.75 | +111% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.37 | +99% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.00 | +89% |
AMD has the edge over STEM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
STEM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$8.19 | +$21.40 |
| Q1 2026 | -$8.40 | +$91.20 |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.18 | +$96.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$14.23 | +$89.81 |
| Q2 2025 | -$29.59 | +$66.05 |
| Q1 2025 | -$99.60 | -$70.56 |
| Q4 2024 | -$105.80 | -$80.16 |
| Q3 2024 | -$104.04 | -$78.64 |
STEM is still losing money, but far less than before: $8.19 per share over the past year, against $105.80 at its worst in late 2024.
AMD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.4B | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.5B | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3B | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.3B | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.2B | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.7B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.4B | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.7B | +24% |
AMD has the edge over STEM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +5.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7% | -6.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +5.8 points |
AMD has the edge over STEM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
STEM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $33.7M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $29M | -11% |
| Q4 2025 | $47.1M | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $38.2M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $38.4M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.5M | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $55.8M | -67% |
| Q3 2024 | $29.3M | -78% |
STEM's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $34M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -23% | +12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -49% | +16 points |
| Q4 2025 | -18% | +67 points |
| Q3 2025 | -34% | +460 points |
| Q2 2025 | -35% | +1671 points |
| Q1 2025 | -65% | +202 points |
| Q4 2024 | -84% | -64 points |
| Q3 2024 | -493% | -442 points |
STEM's operating margin was −23% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AMD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $554M | -71% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +253% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B | +118% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +283% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +294% |
| Q1 2025 | $727M | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +351% |
AMD has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 128% versus its history, compared with STEM at up 88%.
STEM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -$8.3M | -197% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M | +$22.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $11.4M | +$20.9M |
| Q2 2025 | -$21.3M | -$9.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $8.5M | +$9.2M |
| Q4 2024 | -$14.7M | -$11.5M |
| Q3 2024 | -$9.5M | -$5.4M |
| Q2 2024 | -$12M | +$153.5M |
STEM has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$10M over the past year, against −$28M the year before.
AMD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +20M shares |
| 3 years | +2% | +32M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +431M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +473M shares |
AMD has the edge over STEM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $221M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $89M |
| Q2 2025 | $478M |
| Q1 2025 | $749M |
| Q4 2024 | $256M |
AMD has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
STEM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7% | +593K shares |
| 1 year | +7.4% | +629K shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +45% | +2.8M shares |
STEM has 9M diluted shares, up 7.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
| Q3 2019 | — |
AMD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
AMD has more cash than debt.
STEM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -24.9x | Net Cash |
STEM has more cash than debt.
AMD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.4 | Neutral |
AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
STEM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.9 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 4.0 | Oversold |
STEM's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).
AMD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AMD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 127x | 28x | 357% above |
| PE % | 61 | 35 | 26 pts above |
AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
STEM PE vs Technology Sector
STEM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AMD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $557.2 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $525.9 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $389.7 | 50% above |
| 100 week MA | $266.9 | 119% above |
| 200 week MA | $199.6 | 193% above |
AMD has the edge over STEM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
STEM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.30 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.83 | 53% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.24 | 75% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.1 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.7 | 94% below |
STEM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 94% below its 200-week average.
AMD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.2 | $91.8 | +99% |
| 2021 | $91.8 | $146.1 | +59% |
| 2022 | $146.1 | $64.5 | -56% |
| 2023 | $64.5 | $147.4 | +128% |
| 2024 | $147.4 | $125.2 | -15% |
| 2025 | $125.2 | $215.0 | +72% |
| 2026 YTD | $215.0 | $585.3 | +172% |
AMD has the edge over STEM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
STEM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $195.2 | $453.4 | +132% |
| 2021 | $453.4 | $395.8 | -13% |
| 2022 | $395.8 | $186.2 | -53% |
| 2023 | $186.2 | $77.6 | -58% |
| 2024 | $77.6 | $11.9 | -85% |
| 2025 | $11.9 | $16.0 | +35% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.0 | $2.29 | -86% |
STEM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +132% in 2020 to −85% in 2024. It's down 86% so far in 2026.