AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over SMSI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SMSI

Smith Micro Software, Inc.

51
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

SMSI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SMSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

SMSI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SMSI PE Valuation

SMSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMSI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMSI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SMSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$3.60
Downside-33%$1.61

Calculated from the latest close: $2.40 on Nov 12.

SMSI trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 127% for AMD versus SMSI down 109%.

SMSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-15.20Q1 2024: $-27.20Q2 2024: $-26.90Q3 2024: $-26.40Q4 2025: $-7.30Q1 2026: $-6.65Q2 2026: $-3.27Q3 2026: $-2.32
Q4 2023: $-15.20Q1 2024: $-27.20Q2 2024: $-26.90Q3 2024: $-26.40Q4 2025: $-7.30Q1 2026: $-6.65Q2 2026: $-3.27Q3 2026: $-2.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$26.40-$9.20
Q2 2024-$26.90-$8.90
Q1 2024-$27.20-$6.80
Q4 2023-$15.20+$6.00
Q3 2023-$17.20+$2.00
Q2 2023-$18.00+$10.80
Q1 2023-$20.40+$6.40
Q4 2022-$21.20+$3.20

SMSI is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.32 per share over the past year, against $28.80 at its worst in mid-2022.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over SMSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SMSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5M+15%
Q2 2026$4.3M-1.8%
Q1 2026$4.2M-8.7%
Q4 2025$4M-20%
Q3 2025$4.3M-6.5%
Q2 2025$4.4M-14%
Q1 2025$4.6M-20%
Q4 2024$5M-42%

SMSI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $5M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over SMSI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SMSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$606,000Q2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$943,000Q3 2026: −$192,000
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$606,000Q2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$943,000Q3 2026: −$192,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$192K+$2M
Q2 2026-$943K+$1.4M
Q1 2026-$3.8M-$3.2M
Q4 2025-$2.2M+$2.7M
Q3 2025-$2.2M+$1.7M
Q2 2025-$2.3M+$1.9M
Q1 2025-$606K+$743K
Q4 2024-$4.9M-$3.9M

SMSI has burned cash in most quarters: −$7M over the past year, against −$10M the year before.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has the edge over SMSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.2%+376K shares
1 year+44%+1.7M shares
3 years+263%+4M shares
5 years+415%+4.5M shares
Available history+435%+4.5M shares

SMSI has 6M diluted shares, up 44% from a year ago.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

SMSI Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2021-23.7xNet Cash
Q4 2020-3.6xNet Cash
Q3 2020-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2020-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2019-2.5xNet Cash

SMSI has more cash than debt.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

SMSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.1Neutral
Stochastic10.8Oversold

SMSI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SMSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSMSISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

SMSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over SMSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.452% below
20 week MA$2.638.7% below
50 week MA$3.0421% below
100 week MA$3.8137% below
200 week MA$18.687% below

SMSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 87% below its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over SMSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$154.8$213.6+38%
2021$213.6$201.6-5.6%
2022$201.6$82.4-59%
2023$82.4$33.1-60%
2024$33.1$7.25-78%
2025$7.25$2.85-61%
2026 YTD$2.85$2.40-16%

SMSI has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 16% so far in 2026.

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