AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over SIMO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

SIMO

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation

72
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

SIMO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SIMO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Healthy

SIMO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SIMO PE Valuation

SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SIMO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SIMO, with profitability improving.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SIMO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SIMO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$305.32
Downside-39%$109.36

Calculated from the latest close: $179.50 on Nov 12.

SIMO trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.60 over the past year, up 127% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

SIMO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.66Q4 2023: $1.59Q1 2024: $1.76Q2 2024: $2.35Q3 2024: $2.68Q4 2024: $2.72Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $3.84Q3 2025: $7.84Q4 2025: $12.84Q1 2026: $20.16Q2 2026: $34.16
Q3 2023: $1.66Q4 2023: $1.59Q1 2024: $1.76Q2 2024: $2.35Q3 2024: $2.68Q4 2024: $2.72Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $3.84Q3 2025: $7.84Q4 2025: $12.84Q1 2026: $20.16Q2 2026: $34.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$34.16+790%
Q1 2026$20.16+620%
Q4 2025$12.84+372%
Q3 2025$7.84+193%
Q2 2025$3.84+63%
Q1 2025$2.80+59%
Q4 2024$2.72+71%
Q3 2024$2.68+61%

SIMO has the edge over AMD on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over SIMO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SIMO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $172MQ4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $211MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $242MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $342MQ2 2026: $451M
Q3 2023: $172MQ4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $211MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $242MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $342MQ2 2026: $451M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$451M+127%
Q1 2026$342.1M+105%
Q4 2025$278.5M+46%
Q3 2025$242M+14%
Q2 2025$198.7M-5.7%
Q1 2025$166.5M-12%
Q4 2024$191.2M-5.5%
Q3 2024$212.4M+23%

SIMO's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $451M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over SIMO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SIMO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $48MQ4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$33MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: −$72M
Q3 2023: $48MQ4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$33MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: −$72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$71.5M-$38.7M
Q1 2026-$49.4M-228%
Q4 2025-$6.3M+$10.7M
Q3 2025$6.8M-84%
Q2 2025-$32.8M-397%
Q1 2025$38.6M+$41.5M
Q4 2024-$17M-154%
Q3 2024$41.6M-13%

SIMO's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$120M over the past year.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has the edge over SIMO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SIMO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 9M
Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+45.3K shares
1 year+1.6%+134K shares
3 years-75%-24.9M shares
5 years-76%-26.4M shares
Available history-76%-26.6M shares

SIMO has 9M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

SIMO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -3.3xQ4 2023: -4.2xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.6xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: -3.3xQ4 2023: -4.2xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.6xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.6xNet Cash

SIMO has more cash than debt.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

SIMO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.6Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

SIMO's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SIMO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSIMOSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over SIMO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SIMO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.319% below
20 week MA$251.429% below
50 week MA$198.99.7% below
100 week MA$133.634% above
200 week MA$98.981% above

SIMO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 81% above its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over SIMO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SIMO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.5$44.9-11%
2021$44.9$92.1+105%
2022$92.1$62.4-32%
2023$62.4$61.3-1.8%
2024$61.3$54.9-10%
2025$54.9$90.2+64%
2026 YTD$90.2$179.5+99%

SIMO is up 99% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous six years.

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