AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over SHOP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SHOP

Shopify Inc.

75
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SHOP offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SHOP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SHOP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward66x$147—
Cheap78x$129-12%
Current89x$147—
Fair107x$177+21%
Expensive338x$557+280%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHOP has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

AMD has the edge over SHOP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SHOP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SHOP, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SHOP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$237.14
Downside-23%$113.00

Calculated from the latest close: $146.78 on Nov 12.

SHOP trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over SHOP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SHOP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.21
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.21+34%
Q3 2026$1.65+21%
Q2 2026$1.49-17%
Q1 2026$1.02-18%
Q4 2025$0.94-40%
Q3 2025$1.36+27%
Q2 2025$1.80+84%
Q1 2025$1.24+$1.41
Q4 2024$1.56+1633%

SHOP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.65 over the past year, against $2.68 in late 2021.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over SHOP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SHOP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+32%
Q2 2026$3.6B+34%
Q1 2026$3.2B+34%
Q4 2025$3.7B+31%
Q3 2025$2.8B+32%
Q2 2025$2.7B+31%
Q1 2025$2.4B+27%
Q4 2024$2.8B+31%

SHOP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.7B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD generated $7.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 30% from the year before.

SHOP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$816M+61%
Q2 2026$654M+55%
Q1 2026$476M+31%
Q4 2025$715M+17%
Q3 2025$507M+20%
Q2 2025$422M+27%
Q1 2025$363M+56%
Q4 2024$611M+37%

SHOP generated $2.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

SHOP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-7.2M shares
1 year-1.7%-22.1M shares
3 years-0.4%-5.1M shares
5 years+1.1%+14.5M shares
Available history+11%+130M shares

SHOP has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

SHOP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

SHOP has more cash than debt.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

SHOP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic51.5Neutral

SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SHOP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSHOPSector medianRelative
PE89x28x219% above
PE %29356 pts below

SHOP has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over SHOP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SHOP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$157.06.5% below
20 week MA$143.12.5% above
50 week MA$134.49.2% above
100 week MA$128.115% above
200 week MA$97.750% above

SHOP's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 50% above its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over SHOP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SHOP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$122.6+200%
2021$122.6$143.9+17%
2022$143.9$33.7-77%
2023$33.7$77.9+131%
2024$77.9$108.2+39%
2025$108.2$170.8+58%
2026 YTD$170.8$146.8-14%

SHOP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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