AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has a slight edge over LITE overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

77
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

LITE's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

LITE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LITE PE Valuation

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LITE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LITE, with profitability improving.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LITE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LITE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$1,197.24
Downside-45%$341.49

Calculated from the latest close: $624.65 on Nov 12.

LITE trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over LITE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LITE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.10—
Q3 2026-$89.47-5589%
Q2 2026-$92.96-25224%
Q1 2026$5.54+$12.02
Q4 2025$3.40+$11.12
Q3 2025$1.63+$9.94
Q2 2025$0.37+$8.49
Q1 2025-$6.48-$1.22
Q4 2024-$7.72-$3.77

LITE has swung to a loss: it lost $89.47 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $13.4B last quarter, up 45% from the same quarter a year ago.

LITE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+137%
Q2 2026$1B+109%
Q1 2026$808.4M+90%
Q4 2025$665.5M+65%
Q3 2025$533.8M+58%
Q2 2025$480.7M+56%
Q1 2025$425.2M+16%
Q4 2024$402.2M+9.7%

LITE has the edge over AMD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD generated $7.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 30% from the year before.

LITE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$56.2M
Q2 2026$196.2M+1843%
Q1 2026$79.1M+$143.5M
Q4 2025$43.1M+$59M
Q3 2025-$18.3M+$16.2M
Q2 2025$10.1M-7.3%
Q1 2025-$64.4M-$37.8M
Q4 2024-$15.9M+$16.6M

LITE's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $356M over the past year.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LITE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.7%+5.5M shares
1 year+46%+32.1M shares
3 years+49%+33.4M shares
5 years+31%+24.2M shares
Available history+30%+23.7M shares

LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

LITE Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 202521.6xHigh
Q3 202522.7xHigh
Q2 202527.9xHigh
Q3 2023-34.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-7.2xNet Cash

LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

LITE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LITE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLITESector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over LITE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LITE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$839.326% below
20 week MA$838.626% below
50 week MA$732.715% below
100 week MA$422.748% above
200 week MA$237.9163% above

LITE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 163% above its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over LITE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LITE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.0$98.3+24%
2021$98.3$104.5+6.3%
2022$104.5$50.6-52%
2023$50.6$52.4+3.7%
2024$52.4$84.4+61%
2025$84.4$390.8+363%
2026 YTD$390.8$624.7+60%

LITE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +363% in 2025 to −52% in 2022. It's up 60% so far in 2026.

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