AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
AMD has the edge over IBM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
IBM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AMD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
IBM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
AMD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 39x | $585 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $182 | -69% |
| Fair | 112x | $514 | -12% |
| Current | 127x | $585 | — |
| Expensive | 206x | $947 | +62% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
IBM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $194 | -21% |
| Forward | 19x | $245 | — |
| Current | 21x | $245 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $274 | +12% |
| Expensive | 46x | $538 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IBM has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AMD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
AMD has the edge over IBM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
IBM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
AMD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.05 | +227% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.60 | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +122% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.05 | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.65 | +165% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.03 | +81% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.75 | +111% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.37 | +99% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.00 | +89% |
AMD has the edge over IBM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IBM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.06 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.75 | +40% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.29 | +83% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.33 | +94% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.17 | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.38 | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.18 | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.83 | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.43 | -21% |
IBM earned $11.75 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
AMD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.4B | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.5B | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3B | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.3B | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.2B | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.7B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.4B | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.7B | +24% |
AMD has the edge over IBM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +5.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7% | -6.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +5.8 points |
AMD has the edge over IBM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
IBM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.1B | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.2B | +1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.9B | +9.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.7B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.3B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $17B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.5B | +0.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.6B | +1% |
IBM's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $17.1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +20 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -2.8 points |
IBM's operating margin was 15% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
AMD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $554M | -71% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +253% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B | +118% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +283% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +294% |
| Q1 2025 | $727M | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +351% |
AMD has the edge over IBM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IBM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +59% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.9B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | -9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +5% |
| Q4 2024 | $4B | -3.3% |
IBM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $14.7B over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
AMD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +20M shares |
| 3 years | +2% | +32M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +431M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +473M shares |
AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $221M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $89M |
| Q2 2025 | $478M |
| Q1 2025 | $749M |
| Q4 2024 | $256M |
AMD has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
IBM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +260K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +4.6M shares |
| 3 years | +3.2% | +29.9M shares |
| 5 years | +5.3% | +47.6M shares |
| Available history | +2.1% | +19.6M shares |
IBM has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
AMD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
AMD has more cash than debt.
IBM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.4x | High |
IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.
AMD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.4 | Neutral |
AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
IBM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.8 | Neutral |
IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
AMD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AMD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 127x | 28x | 357% above |
| PE % | 61 | 35 | 26 pts above |
AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
IBM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | IBM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 31 | 35 | 4 pts below |
IBM has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.
AMD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $557.2 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $525.9 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $389.7 | 50% above |
| 100 week MA | $266.9 | 119% above |
| 200 week MA | $199.6 | 193% above |
AMD has the edge over IBM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
IBM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $238.6 | 2.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $239.3 | 2.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $256.6 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $258.5 | 5.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $212.3 | 15% above |
IBM's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.
AMD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.2 | $91.8 | +99% |
| 2021 | $91.8 | $146.1 | +59% |
| 2022 | $146.1 | $64.5 | -56% |
| 2023 | $64.5 | $147.4 | +128% |
| 2024 | $147.4 | $125.2 | -15% |
| 2025 | $125.2 | $215.0 | +72% |
| 2026 YTD | $215.0 | $585.3 | +172% |
AMD has the edge over IBM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
IBM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $129.3 | $119.2 | -7.8% |
| 2021 | $119.2 | $130.6 | +9.6% |
| 2022 | $130.6 | $141.7 | +8.4% |
| 2023 | $141.7 | $163.6 | +15% |
| 2024 | $163.6 | $222.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $222.8 | $305.1 | +37% |
| 2026 YTD | $305.1 | $244.7 | -20% |
IBM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.