AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
AMD has the edge over HPQ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
HPQ
HP Inc.
HPQ has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AMD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
HPQ Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
HPQ's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
AMD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 39x | $585 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $182 | -69% |
| Fair | 112x | $514 | -12% |
| Current | 127x | $585 | — |
| Expensive | 206x | $947 | +62% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
HPQ PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.3x | $19.05 | -34% |
| Forward | 9.3x | $28.88 | — |
| Fair | 9.8x | $25.65 | -11% |
| Current | 11x | $28.88 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $31.53 | +9.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HPQ has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AMD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
AMD has the edge over HPQ on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
HPQ Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect HPQ's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
AMD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.05 | +227% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.60 | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +122% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.05 | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.65 | +165% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.03 | +81% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.75 | +111% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.37 | +99% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.00 | +89% |
AMD has the edge over HPQ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HPQ Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.11 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.62 | -4.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.71 | +4.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.64 | -5% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.65 | -5.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.74 | -3.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.59 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.78 | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.81 | -15% |
HPQ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.62 over the past year, against $5.61 in mid-2022.
AMD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.4B | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.5B | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3B | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.3B | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.2B | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.7B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.4B | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.7B | +24% |
AMD has the edge over HPQ on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +5.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7% | -6.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +5.8 points |
AMD has the edge over HPQ on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HPQ Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15.7B | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.4B | +9% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.4B | +6.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.6B | +4.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.9B | +3.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.2B | +3.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.5B | +2.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.1B | +1.7% |
HPQ's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $15.7B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.7% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.3% | -1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.5% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.1% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.3% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7% | -0.3 points |
HPQ's operating margin was 5.7% last quarter, up 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AMD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $554M | -71% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +253% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B | +118% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +283% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +294% |
| Q1 2025 | $727M | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +351% |
AMD has the edge over HPQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HPQ Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +7.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $756M | +$901M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M | +108% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -2.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | -$145M | -131% |
| Q1 2025 | $72M | +$109M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | -19% |
HPQ still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $3.9B over the past year.
AMD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +20M shares |
| 3 years | +2% | +32M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +431M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +473M shares |
AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $221M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $89M |
| Q2 2025 | $478M |
| Q1 2025 | $749M |
| Q4 2024 | $256M |
AMD has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
HPQ Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | -2.8% | -27M shares |
| 3 years | -7.5% | -75M shares |
| 5 years | -23% | -272M shares |
| Available history | -39% | -597M shares |
HPQ has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $300M |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2026 | $325M |
| Q4 2025 | $500M |
| Q3 2025 | $200M |
| Q2 2025 | $100M |
| Q1 2025 | $100M |
| Q4 2024 | $900M |
HPQ spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 5.8% from the year before.
AMD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
AMD has more cash than debt.
HPQ Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
HPQ's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
AMD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.4 | Neutral |
AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
HPQ Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 23.8 | Neutral |
HPQ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
AMD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AMD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 127x | 28x | 357% above |
| PE % | 61 | 35 | 26 pts above |
AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
HPQ PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | HPQ | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 28x | 60% below |
| PE % | 69 | 35 | 34 pts above |
HPQ has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.
AMD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $557.2 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $525.9 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $389.7 | 50% above |
| 100 week MA | $266.9 | 119% above |
| 200 week MA | $199.6 | 193% above |
AMD has the edge over HPQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HPQ Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $30.4 | 5.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $29.5 | 2.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.7 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $26.2 | 10% above |
| 200 week MA | $28.8 | 0.5% above |
HPQ has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 0.5% above its 200-week average.
AMD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.2 | $91.8 | +99% |
| 2021 | $91.8 | $146.1 | +59% |
| 2022 | $146.1 | $64.5 | -56% |
| 2023 | $64.5 | $147.4 | +128% |
| 2024 | $147.4 | $125.2 | -15% |
| 2025 | $125.2 | $215.0 | +72% |
| 2026 YTD | $215.0 | $585.3 | +172% |
AMD has the edge over HPQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HPQ Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.5 | $24.3 | +18% |
| 2021 | $24.3 | $37.7 | +55% |
| 2022 | $37.7 | $26.8 | -29% |
| 2023 | $26.8 | $30.1 | +12% |
| 2024 | $30.1 | $33.3 | +11% |
| 2025 | $33.3 | $23.3 | -30% |
| 2026 YTD | $23.3 | $28.9 | +24% |
HPQ has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 24% so far in 2026.