AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over CTM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CTM

Castellum, Inc.

41
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

CTM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CTM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

CTM's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585โ€”
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585โ€”
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CTM PE Valuation

CTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CTM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Stable
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect CTM's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CTM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CTM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$0.70
Downside-36%$0.29

Calculated from the latest close: $0.45 on Nov 12.

CTM trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over CTM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CTM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.08Q3 2025: $-0.06Q4 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $-0.04Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.08Q3 2025: $-0.06Q4 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $-0.04Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.04+$0.02
Q2 2026-$0.03+$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.02+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.03+$0.15
Q3 2025-$0.06+$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.08+$0.27
Q1 2025-$0.11+$0.25
Q4 2024-$0.18+$0.20

CTM is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.04 per share over the past year, against $0.58 at its worst in mid-2022.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over CTM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CTM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.7M+0.6%
Q2 2026$13.9M-1.1%
Q1 2026$14.3M+23%
Q4 2025$12.6M+22%
Q3 2025$14.6M+26%
Q2 2025$14M+22%
Q1 2025$11.7M+2.9%
Q4 2024$10.3M-7.1%

CTM's revenue is growing: $15M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over CTM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CTM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $873,228Q1 2024: $23,728Q2 2024: $748,618Q3 2024: $738,874Q4 2024: โˆ’$394,432Q1 2025: โˆ’$3MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $957,026Q4 2025: โˆ’$671,496Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1M
Q4 2023: $873,228Q1 2024: $23,728Q2 2024: $748,618Q3 2024: $738,874Q4 2024: โˆ’$394,432Q1 2025: โˆ’$3MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $957,026Q4 2025: โˆ’$671,496Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.3M-234%
Q1 2026$1.3M+$3.8M
Q4 2025-$671.5K-$277.1K
Q3 2025$957K+30%
Q1 2025-$2.5M-10647%
Q4 2024-$394.4K-145%
Q3 2024$738.9K+$2M
Q2 2024$748.6K+33%

CTM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $366,940 over the past year, against โˆ’$1M the year before.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has the edge over CTM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CTM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 95M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 95M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+138K shares
1 year+5.6%+5.1M shares
3 years+96%+46.5M shares
5 years+515%+79.4M shares
Available history+543%+80.1M shares

CTM has 95M diluted shares, up 5.6% from a year ago.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

CTM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202129.1xHigh
Q1 202111.1xHigh

CTM's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

CTM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic14.3Oversold

CTM's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CTM PE vs Technology Sector

CTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over CTM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CTM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.5417% below
20 week MA$0.6025% below
50 week MA$0.7439% below
100 week MA$0.9151% below
200 week MA$0.6733% below

CTM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over CTM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CTM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$1.47$1.22-17%
2023$1.22$0.30-75%
2024$0.30$1.42+373%
2025$1.42$1.03-27%
2026 YTD$1.03$0.45-56%

CTM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +373% in 2024 to โˆ’75% in 2023. It's down 56% so far in 2026.

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