AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over ARW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

ARW

Arrow Electronics, Inc.

75
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential91/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

ARW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ARW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

ARW's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ARW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$126-37%
Current10x$198—
Fair12x$231+17%
Expensive15x$296+49%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARW has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARW Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ARW to show an outlook.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD trails ARW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$348.58
Downside-8%$182.57

Calculated from the latest close: $198.20 on Nov 12.

ARW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over ARW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.84Q1 2024: $12.77Q2 2024: $10.66Q3 2024: $9.01Q4 2024: $7.29Q1 2025: $7.27Q2 2025: $8.85Q3 2025: $9.06Q4 2025: $10.93Q2 2026: $13.97Q3 2026: $15.64Q4 2026: $19.72
Q4 2023: $15.84Q1 2024: $12.77Q2 2024: $10.66Q3 2024: $9.01Q4 2024: $7.29Q1 2025: $7.27Q2 2025: $8.85Q3 2025: $9.06Q4 2025: $10.93Q2 2026: $13.97Q3 2026: $15.64Q4 2026: $19.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$19.72+118%
Q2 2026$15.64+77%
Q1 2026$13.97+92%
Q4 2025$10.93+50%
Q3 2025$9.06+0.6%
Q2 2025$8.85-17%
Q1 2025$7.27-43%
Q4 2024$7.29-54%

ARW earned $19.72 per share over the past year, up 118% from the year before.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over ARW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.8BQ1 2024: $6.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.3BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ2 2026: $9.5BQ3 2026: $10BQ4 2026: $10.7B
Q4 2023: $7.8BQ1 2024: $6.9BQ2 2024: $6.9BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.3BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ2 2026: $9.5BQ3 2026: $10BQ4 2026: $10.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.7B+39%
Q2 2026$10B+32%
Q1 2026$9.5B+39%
Q4 2025$8.7B+20%
Q3 2025$7.7B+13%
Q2 2025$7.6B+10%
Q1 2025$6.8B-1.6%
Q4 2024$7.3B-7.2%

ARW's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $10.7B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over ARW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $374MQ2 2024: $298MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $327MQ2 2025: −$225MQ3 2025: −$312MQ4 2025: $173MQ2 2026: $668MQ3 2026: $297MQ4 2026: −$468M
Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $374MQ2 2024: $298MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $304MQ1 2025: $327MQ2 2025: −$225MQ3 2025: −$312MQ4 2025: $173MQ2 2026: $668MQ3 2026: $297MQ4 2026: −$468M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$468.3M-$156.3M
Q2 2026$297.2M+$521.7M
Q1 2026$667.6M+104%
Q4 2025$172.6M-43%
Q3 2025-$312M-603%
Q2 2025-$224.5M-175%
Q1 2025$326.7M-13%
Q4 2024$303.9M+16%

ARW usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$468M, but it generated $669M over the past year.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

ARW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52MQ4 2026: 52M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52MQ4 2026: 52M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-252K shares
1 year-1%-526K shares
3 years-8.3%-4.7M shares
5 years-29%-21M shares
Available history-38%-32M shares

ARW has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

ARW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.4xQ4 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.4xQ4 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20243.2xElevated

ARW's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

ARW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic20.5Neutral

ARW's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ARW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricARWSector medianRelative
PE10x28x64% below
PE %42357 pts above

ARW has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over ARW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ARW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$214.37.5% below
20 week MA$212.56.7% below
50 week MA$181.19.4% above
100 week MA$148.733% above
200 week MA$136.545% above

ARW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 45% above its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over ARW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ARW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.5$97.1+15%
2021$97.1$130.9+35%
2022$130.9$103.9-21%
2023$103.9$122.3+18%
2024$122.3$114.0-6.8%
2025$114.0$113.4-0.5%
2026 YTD$113.4$198.2+75%

ARW is up 75% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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