AMCR

Amcor plc

61
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

AMCR has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Weak

AMCR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AMCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$38.71-12%
Current19x$43.80—
Fair21x$49.43+13%
Expensive28x$64.25+47%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMCR has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AMCR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AMCR to show an outlook.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$52.03
Downside-22%$34.02

Calculated from the latest close: $43.80 on Nov 12.

AMCR trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.52Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.76Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $1.81Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $2.33
Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.52Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.76Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $1.81Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.33+36%
Q2 2026$2.38+31%
Q1 2026$1.45-48%
Q4 2025$1.53-45%
Q3 2025$1.71-36%
Q2 2025$1.81-28%
Q1 2025$2.80+24%
Q4 2024$2.76+25%

AMCR has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

AMCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $5.9BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $5.9BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.1B+6.7%
Q2 2026$6.4B+26%
Q1 2026$5.9B+77%
Q4 2025$5.4B+68%
Q3 2025$5.7B+71%
Q2 2025$5.1B+44%
Q1 2025$3.3B-2.3%
Q4 2024$3.2B-0.3%

AMCR has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AMCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $809MQ3 2024: −$414MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $894MQ3 2025: −$371MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: −$42MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: −$828M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $809MQ3 2024: −$414MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $894MQ3 2025: −$371MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: −$42MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: −$828M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$828M-$457M
Q2 2026$1.4B+52%
Q1 2026-$42M-$42M
Q4 2025$282M-15%
Q3 2025-$371M+$43M
Q2 2025$894M+11%
Q1 2025$0-100%
Q4 2024$330M+36%

AMCR has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

AMCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 288MQ1 2024: 288MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 289MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 289MQ3 2025: 463MQ4 2025: 464MQ1 2026: 464MQ2 2026: 464MQ3 2026: 465M
Q4 2023: 288MQ1 2024: 288MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 289MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 289MQ3 2025: 463MQ4 2025: 464MQ1 2026: 464MQ2 2026: 464MQ3 2026: 465M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+800K shares
1 year+0.3%+1.6M shares
3 years+57%+169M shares
5 years+49%+153M shares
Available history+44%+142M shares

AMCR has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AMCR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 7.7xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.2x
Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 7.7xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.2xHigh
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 20255.9xHigh
Q3 20256.7xHigh
Q2 20257.7xHigh
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated

AMCR's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.7 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over AMCR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic53.5Neutral

AMCR's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

AMCR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMCRSector medianRelative
PE19x18x4.1% above
PE %274720 pts below

AMCR has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.00.5% below
20 week MA$44.61.8% below
50 week MA$42.92% above
100 week MA$44.31.2% below
200 week MA$47.47.5% below

AMCR's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 7.5% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over AMCR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.8$58.2+6.3%
2021$58.2$58.3+0.2%
2022$58.3$60.3+3.4%
2023$60.3$48.2-20%
2024$48.2$47.2-2.1%
2025$47.2$41.6-12%
2026 YTD$41.6$43.8+5.3%

AMCR has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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