AMCR

Amcor plc

61
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

AMCR has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AMCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Weak

AMCR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

AMCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$38.71-12%
Current19x$43.80—
Fair21x$49.43+13%
Expensive28x$64.25+47%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMCR's PE is in its cheap range at 19x.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over AMCR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMCR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AMCR to show an outlook.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$52.03
Downside-22%$34.02

Calculated from the latest close: $43.80 on Nov 12.

AMCR trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMCR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.52Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.76Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $1.81Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $2.33
Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.52Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.76Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $1.81Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.33+36%
Q2 2026$2.38+31%
Q1 2026$1.45-48%
Q4 2025$1.53-45%
Q3 2025$1.71-36%
Q2 2025$1.81-28%
Q1 2025$2.80+24%
Q4 2024$2.76+25%

AMCR has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

AMCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $5.9BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $5.9BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.1B+6.7%
Q2 2026$6.4B+26%
Q1 2026$5.9B+77%
Q4 2025$5.4B+68%
Q3 2025$5.7B+71%
Q2 2025$5.1B+44%
Q1 2025$3.3B-2.3%
Q4 2024$3.2B-0.3%

AMCR has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $809MQ3 2024: −$414MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $894MQ3 2025: −$371MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: −$42MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: −$828M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $809MQ3 2024: −$414MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $894MQ3 2025: −$371MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: −$42MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: −$828M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$828M-$457M
Q2 2026$1.4B+52%
Q1 2026-$42M-$42M
Q4 2025$282M-15%
Q3 2025-$371M+$43M
Q2 2025$894M+11%
Q1 2025$0-100%
Q4 2024$330M+36%

AMCR has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

AMCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 288MQ1 2024: 288MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 289MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 289MQ3 2025: 463MQ4 2025: 464MQ1 2026: 464MQ2 2026: 464MQ3 2026: 465M
Q4 2023: 288MQ1 2024: 288MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 289MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 289MQ3 2025: 463MQ4 2025: 464MQ1 2026: 464MQ2 2026: 464MQ3 2026: 465M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+800K shares
1 year+0.3%+1.6M shares
3 years+57%+169M shares
5 years+49%+153M shares
Available history+44%+142M shares

AMCR has 465M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AMCR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 7.7xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.2x
Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 7.7xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.2xHigh
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 20255.9xHigh
Q3 20256.7xHigh
Q2 20257.7xHigh
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated

AMCR's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.7 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over AMCR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic53.5Neutral

AMCR's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

AMCR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMCRSector medianRelative
PE19x18x4.1% above
PE %274720 pts below

AMCR is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over AMCR on valuation relative to its sector.

AMCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.00.5% below
20 week MA$44.61.8% below
50 week MA$42.92% above
100 week MA$44.31.2% below
200 week MA$47.47.5% below

AMCR's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 7.5% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

AMCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.8$58.2+6.3%
2021$58.2$58.3+0.2%
2022$58.3$60.3+3.4%
2023$60.3$48.2-20%
2024$48.2$47.2-2.1%
2025$47.2$41.6-12%
2026 YTD$41.6$43.8+5.3%

AMCR has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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