AMCR

Amcor plc

61
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

AMCR has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Weak

AMCR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AMCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$38.71-12%
Current19x$43.80—
Fair21x$49.43+13%
Expensive28x$64.25+47%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMCR's PE is in its cheap range at 19x.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMCR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AMCR to show an outlook.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$52.03
Downside-22%$34.02

Calculated from the latest close: $43.80 on Nov 12.

AMCR trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.52Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.76Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $1.81Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $2.33
Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.52Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.76Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $1.81Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.45Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.33+36%
Q2 2026$2.38+31%
Q1 2026$1.45-48%
Q4 2025$1.53-45%
Q3 2025$1.71-36%
Q2 2025$1.81-28%
Q1 2025$2.80+24%
Q4 2024$2.76+25%

AMCR has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AMCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $5.9BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $5.9BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.1B+6.7%
Q2 2026$6.4B+26%
Q1 2026$5.9B+77%
Q4 2025$5.4B+68%
Q3 2025$5.7B+71%
Q2 2025$5.1B+44%
Q1 2025$3.3B-2.3%
Q4 2024$3.2B-0.3%

AMCR has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $809MQ3 2024: −$414MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $894MQ3 2025: −$371MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: −$42MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: −$828M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $809MQ3 2024: −$414MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $894MQ3 2025: −$371MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: −$42MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: −$828M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$828M-$457M
Q2 2026$1.4B+52%
Q1 2026-$42M-$42M
Q4 2025$282M-15%
Q3 2025-$371M+$43M
Q2 2025$894M+11%
Q1 2025$0-100%
Q4 2024$330M+36%

AMCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$828M, but it generated $772M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over AMCR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 288MQ1 2024: 288MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 289MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 289MQ3 2025: 463MQ4 2025: 464MQ1 2026: 464MQ2 2026: 464MQ3 2026: 465M
Q4 2023: 288MQ1 2024: 288MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 289MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 289MQ3 2025: 463MQ4 2025: 464MQ1 2026: 464MQ2 2026: 464MQ3 2026: 465M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+800K shares
1 year+0.3%+1.6M shares
3 years+57%+169M shares
5 years+49%+153M shares
Available history+44%+142M shares

AMCR has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

AMCR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 7.7xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.2x
Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 7.7xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.2xHigh
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 20255.9xHigh
Q3 20256.7xHigh
Q2 20257.7xHigh
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated

AMCR's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.7 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over AMCR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic53.5Neutral

AMCR's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

AMCR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMCRSector medianRelative
PE19x18x4.1% above
PE %274720 pts below

AMCR is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.00.5% below
20 week MA$44.61.8% below
50 week MA$42.92% above
100 week MA$44.31.2% below
200 week MA$47.47.5% below

AMCR has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

AMCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.8$58.2+6.3%
2021$58.2$58.3+0.2%
2022$58.3$60.3+3.4%
2023$60.3$48.2-20%
2024$48.2$47.2-2.1%
2025$47.2$41.6-12%
2026 YTD$41.6$43.8+5.3%

AMCR has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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