AMBP

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

59
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AMBP has the edge over GME overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMBP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Weak

AMBP's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMBP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x200x300x400x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x200x300x400x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$0.95-79%
Forward17x$4.61—
Fair41x$3.71-19%
Current53x$4.61—
Expensive88x$7.92+72%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMBP's PE is in its expensive range at 53x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME has the edge over AMBP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMBP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

AMBP has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

AMBP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$6.30
Downside-13%$4.02

Calculated from the latest close: $4.61 on Nov 12.

AMBP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GME, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME trails AMBP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMBP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $-0.11Q2 2024: $-0.10Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.04Q1 2025: $-0.04Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $-0.01Q2 2026: $0.05Q3 2026: $0.09Forward: $0.28
Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $-0.11Q2 2024: $-0.10Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.04Q1 2025: $-0.04Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $-0.01Q2 2026: $0.05Q3 2026: $0.09Forward: $0.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.28+208%
Q3 2026$0.09+$0.11
Q2 2026$0.05+$0.08
Q1 2026-$0.01+$0.03
Q4 2025-$0.02+$0.02
Q3 2025-$0.02+$0.09
Q2 2025-$0.03+$0.07
Q1 2025-$0.04+$0.07
Q4 2024-$0.04+$0.07

AMBP has returned to profit: it earned $0.09 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.54 over the past year, up 93% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

AMBP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+19%
Q2 2026$1.7B+18%
Q1 2026$1.5B+19%
Q4 2025$1.3B+13%
Q3 2025$1.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$1.5B+16%
Q1 2025$1.3B+11%
Q4 2024$1.2B+5.6%

AMBP has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMBP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: −$400MQ2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $127MQ4 2024: $339MQ1 2025: −$349MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $131MQ4 2025: $315MQ1 2026: −$405MQ2 2026: $256MQ3 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: −$400MQ2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $127MQ4 2024: $339MQ1 2025: −$349MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $131MQ4 2025: $315MQ1 2026: −$405MQ2 2026: $256MQ3 2026: $136M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$136M+3.8%
Q2 2026$256M+52%
Q1 2026-$405M-$56M
Q4 2025$315M-7.1%
Q3 2025$131M+3.1%
Q2 2025$168M-15%
Q1 2025-$349M+$51M
Q4 2024$339M-6.9%

AMBP generated $302M in free cash flow over the past year, up 4.5% from the year before.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over AMBP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMBP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 598MQ1 2024: 598MQ2 2024: 598MQ3 2024: 598MQ4 2024: 598MQ1 2025: 598MQ2 2025: 598MQ3 2025: 598MQ4 2025: 598MQ1 2026: 598MQ2 2026: 598MQ3 2026: 598M
Q4 2023: 598MQ1 2024: 598MQ2 2024: 598MQ3 2024: 598MQ4 2024: 598MQ1 2025: 598MQ2 2025: 598MQ3 2025: 598MQ4 2025: 598MQ1 2026: 598MQ2 2026: 598MQ3 2026: 598M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%+100K shares
5 years+6.2%+34.9M shares
Available history+21%+104M shares

AMBP has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

AMBP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 7.2xQ2 2024: 6.6xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 5.5xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 7.2xQ2 2024: 6.6xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 5.5xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20265.9xHigh
Q1 20266.5xHigh
Q4 20256.0xHigh
Q3 20255.5xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20255.8xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

AMBP's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.5 years a year ago.

GME Net Leverage

AMBP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic30.6Neutral

AMBP's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

AMBP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMBPSector medianRelative
PE53x18x196% above
PE %735518 pts above

AMBP is trading at 53x earnings, a 196% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME has the edge over AMBP on valuation relative to its sector.

AMBP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.541.5% above
20 week MA$4.763.2% below
50 week MA$4.443.8% above
100 week MA$3.9716% above
200 week MA$3.8619% above

AMBP's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 19% above its 200-week average.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME has the edge over AMBP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMBP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.99$8.89-11%
2022$8.89$4.75-47%
2023$4.75$3.84-19%
2024$3.84$3.02-21%
2025$3.02$4.06+34%
2026 YTD$4.06$4.61+14%

AMBP has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's up 14% so far in 2026.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME has the edge over AMBP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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