AMBA

Ambarella, Inc.

65
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

AMBA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over AMBA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AMBA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

AMBA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AMBA PE Valuation

AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

AMBA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AMBA has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

AMBA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$97.00
Downside-36%$39.09

Calculated from the latest close: $61.06 on Nov 12.

AMBA trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMBA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMBA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.02Q1 2024: $-4.25Q2 2024: $-4.27Q3 2024: $-4.33Q4 2024: $-3.87Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.49Q3 2025: $-2.11Q4 2025: $-1.88Q1 2026: $-1.78Q2 2026: $-1.61Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $0.96
Q4 2023: $-3.02Q1 2024: $-4.25Q2 2024: $-4.27Q3 2024: $-4.33Q4 2024: $-3.87Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.49Q3 2025: $-2.11Q4 2025: $-1.88Q1 2026: $-1.78Q2 2026: $-1.61Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $0.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.96—
Q3 2026-$1.29+$0.82
Q2 2026-$1.61+$0.88
Q1 2026-$1.78+$1.06
Q4 2025-$1.88+$1.99
Q3 2025-$2.11+$2.22
Q2 2025-$2.49+$1.78
Q1 2025-$2.84+$1.41
Q4 2024-$3.87-$0.85

AMBA is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.29 per share over the past year, against $4.33 at its worst in mid-2024.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over AMBA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AMBA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $108M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $108M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$108.1M+13%
Q2 2026$100.4M+17%
Q1 2026$100.9M+20%
Q4 2025$108.5M+31%
Q3 2025$95.5M+50%
Q2 2025$85.9M+58%
Q1 2025$84M+63%
Q4 2024$82.7M+63%

AMBA's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $108M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over AMBA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMBA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.1M-612%
Q2 2026-$29.6M-389%
Q1 2026$15M-30%
Q4 2025$31.4M+663%
Q3 2025$1.4M-90%
Q2 2025$10.2M+$26.3M
Q1 2025$21.2M+$27.2M
Q4 2024$4.1M-25%

AMBA usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$7M, but it generated $10M over the past year.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over AMBA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMBA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 44M
Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 44M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+400K shares
1 year+3.4%+1.5M shares
3 years+11%+4.3M shares
5 years+21%+7.6M shares
Available history+32%+10.7M shares

AMBA has 44M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over AMBA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMBA Net Leverage

AMBA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AMBA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.9Neutral
Stochastic16.2Oversold

AMBA's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

AMBA PE vs Technology Sector

AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AMBA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$65.06% below
20 week MA$70.113% below
50 week MA$67.79.9% below
100 week MA$68.110% below
200 week MA$65.26.4% below

AMBA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over AMBA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMBA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.9$92.6+55%
2021$92.6$200.6+117%
2022$200.6$81.2-60%
2023$81.2$61.3-25%
2024$61.3$73.5+20%
2025$73.5$71.4-2.9%
2026 YTD$71.4$61.1-14%

AMBA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +117% in 2021 to −60% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over AMBA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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