AMBA
Ambarella, Inc.
AMBA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over AMBA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
AMBA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
AMBA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AMBA PE Valuation
AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
AMBA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AMBA has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
AMBA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.96 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.29 | +$0.82 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.61 | +$0.88 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.78 | +$1.06 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.88 | +$1.99 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.11 | +$2.22 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.49 | +$1.78 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.84 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.87 | -$0.85 |
AMBA is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.29 per share over the past year, against $4.33 at its worst in mid-2024.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over AMBA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AMBA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $108.1M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $100.4M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $100.9M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.5M | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $95.5M | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $85.9M | +58% |
| Q1 2025 | $84M | +63% |
| Q4 2024 | $82.7M | +63% |
AMBA has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -7.5% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | -18% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | -15% | +16 points |
| Q3 2025 | -23% | +34 points |
| Q2 2025 | -30% | +42 points |
| Q1 2025 | -30% | +51 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +52 points |
AMBA's operating margin was −7.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over AMBA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AMBA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$7.1M | -612% |
| Q2 2026 | -$29.6M | -389% |
| Q1 2026 | $15M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $31.4M | +663% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M | -90% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.2M | +$26.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $21.2M | +$27.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M | -25% |
AMBA has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
AMBA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.9% | +400K shares |
| 1 year | +3.4% | +1.5M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +4.3M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +7.6M shares |
| Available history | +32% | +10.7M shares |
AMBA has 44M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
AMBA has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over AMBA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
AMBA Net Leverage
AMBA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AMBA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.2 | Oversold |
AMBA's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
AMBA PE vs Technology Sector
AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AMBA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $65.0 | 6% below |
| 20 week MA | $70.1 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $67.7 | 9.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $68.1 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $65.2 | 6.4% below |
AMBA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over AMBA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AMBA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.9 | $92.6 | +55% |
| 2021 | $92.6 | $200.6 | +117% |
| 2022 | $200.6 | $81.2 | -60% |
| 2023 | $81.2 | $61.3 | -25% |
| 2024 | $61.3 | $73.5 | +20% |
| 2025 | $73.5 | $71.4 | -2.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $71.4 | $61.1 | -14% |
AMBA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +117% in 2021 to −60% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over AMBA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.