AMBA

Ambarella, Inc.

65
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

AMBA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has a slight edge over AMBA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

AMBA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

AMBA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

AMBA PE Valuation

AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMBA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMBA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMBA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$97.00
Downside-36%$39.09

Calculated from the latest close: $61.06 on Nov 12.

AMBA trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMBA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMBA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.02Q1 2024: $-4.25Q2 2024: $-4.27Q3 2024: $-4.33Q4 2024: $-3.87Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.49Q3 2025: $-2.11Q4 2025: $-1.88Q1 2026: $-1.78Q2 2026: $-1.61Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $0.96
Q4 2023: $-3.02Q1 2024: $-4.25Q2 2024: $-4.27Q3 2024: $-4.33Q4 2024: $-3.87Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.49Q3 2025: $-2.11Q4 2025: $-1.88Q1 2026: $-1.78Q2 2026: $-1.61Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $0.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.96—
Q3 2026-$1.29+$0.82
Q2 2026-$1.61+$0.88
Q1 2026-$1.78+$1.06
Q4 2025-$1.88+$1.99
Q3 2025-$2.11+$2.22
Q2 2025-$2.49+$1.78
Q1 2025-$2.84+$1.41
Q4 2024-$3.87-$0.85

AMBA has the edge over INTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AMBA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $108M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $108M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$108.1M+13%
Q2 2026$100.4M+17%
Q1 2026$100.9M+20%
Q4 2025$108.5M+31%
Q3 2025$95.5M+50%
Q2 2025$85.9M+58%
Q1 2025$84M+63%
Q4 2024$82.7M+63%

AMBA has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMBA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.1M-612%
Q2 2026-$29.6M-389%
Q1 2026$15M-30%
Q4 2025$31.4M+663%
Q3 2025$1.4M-90%
Q2 2025$10.2M+$26.3M
Q1 2025$21.2M+$27.2M
Q4 2024$4.1M-25%

AMBA usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$7M, but it generated $10M over the past year.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over AMBA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMBA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 44M
Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 44M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+400K shares
1 year+3.4%+1.5M shares
3 years+11%+4.3M shares
5 years+21%+7.6M shares
Available history+32%+10.7M shares

AMBA has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

AMBA Net Leverage

AMBA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

AMBA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.9Neutral
Stochastic16.2Oversold

AMBA's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AMBA PE vs Technology Sector

AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMBA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$65.06% below
20 week MA$70.113% below
50 week MA$67.79.9% below
100 week MA$68.110% below
200 week MA$65.26.4% below

AMBA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over AMBA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMBA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.9$92.6+55%
2021$92.6$200.6+117%
2022$200.6$81.2-60%
2023$81.2$61.3-25%
2024$61.3$73.5+20%
2025$73.5$71.4-2.9%
2026 YTD$71.4$61.1-14%

AMBA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +117% in 2021 to −60% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over AMBA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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