AMBA

Ambarella, Inc.

65
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

AMBA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over AMBA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

AMBA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

AMBA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AMBA PE Valuation

AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMBA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMBA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMBA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$97.00
Downside-36%$39.09

Calculated from the latest close: $61.06 on Nov 12.

AMBA trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMBA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMBA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.02Q1 2024: $-4.25Q2 2024: $-4.27Q3 2024: $-4.33Q4 2024: $-3.87Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.49Q3 2025: $-2.11Q4 2025: $-1.88Q1 2026: $-1.78Q2 2026: $-1.61Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $0.96
Q4 2023: $-3.02Q1 2024: $-4.25Q2 2024: $-4.27Q3 2024: $-4.33Q4 2024: $-3.87Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.49Q3 2025: $-2.11Q4 2025: $-1.88Q1 2026: $-1.78Q2 2026: $-1.61Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $0.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.96—
Q3 2026-$1.29+$0.82
Q2 2026-$1.61+$0.88
Q1 2026-$1.78+$1.06
Q4 2025-$1.88+$1.99
Q3 2025-$2.11+$2.22
Q2 2025-$2.49+$1.78
Q1 2025-$2.84+$1.41
Q4 2024-$3.87-$0.85

AMBA is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.29 per share over the past year, against $4.33 at its worst in mid-2024.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over AMBA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AMBA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $108M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $108M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$108.1M+13%
Q2 2026$100.4M+17%
Q1 2026$100.9M+20%
Q4 2025$108.5M+31%
Q3 2025$95.5M+50%
Q2 2025$85.9M+58%
Q1 2025$84M+63%
Q4 2024$82.7M+63%

AMBA has the edge over AMD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $13.4B last quarter, up 45% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMBA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.1M-612%
Q2 2026-$29.6M-389%
Q1 2026$15M-30%
Q4 2025$31.4M+663%
Q3 2025$1.4M-90%
Q2 2025$10.2M+$26.3M
Q1 2025$21.2M+$27.2M
Q4 2024$4.1M-25%

AMBA usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$7M, but it generated $10M over the past year.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over AMBA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMBA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 44M
Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 44M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+400K shares
1 year+3.4%+1.5M shares
3 years+11%+4.3M shares
5 years+21%+7.6M shares
Available history+32%+10.7M shares

AMBA has 44M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has the edge over AMBA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMBA Net Leverage

AMBA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

AMBA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.9Neutral
Stochastic16.2Oversold

AMBA's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AMBA PE vs Technology Sector

AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AMBA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$65.06% below
20 week MA$70.113% below
50 week MA$67.79.9% below
100 week MA$68.110% below
200 week MA$65.26.4% below

AMBA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over AMBA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMBA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.9$92.6+55%
2021$92.6$200.6+117%
2022$200.6$81.2-60%
2023$81.2$61.3-25%
2024$61.3$73.5+20%
2025$73.5$71.4-2.9%
2026 YTD$71.4$61.1-14%

AMBA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +117% in 2021 to −60% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over AMBA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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