AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.

69
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

AMAT has the edge over UBER overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.

60
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential17/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

UBER offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

AMAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UBER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

AMAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$188-51%
Forward20x$381—
Fair21x$241-37%
Expensive29x$335-12%
Current30x$381—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMAT has the edge over UBER in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UBER PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$26.01-62%
Fair17x$29.70-57%
Forward17x$69.12—
Current40x$69.12—
Expensive93x$160+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UBER's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AMAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMAT, with profitability improving.

UBER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UBER, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$571.89
Downside-30%$264.79

Calculated from the latest close: $380.95 on Nov 12.

AMAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UBER, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UBER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.80
Downside-49%$35.31

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

UBER trails AMAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.11Q1 2024: $8.50Q2 2024: $8.70Q3 2024: $8.90Q4 2024: $8.61Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $8.22Q3 2025: $8.39Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Forward: $18.83
Q4 2023: $8.11Q1 2024: $8.50Q2 2024: $8.70Q3 2024: $8.90Q4 2024: $8.61Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $8.22Q3 2025: $8.39Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Forward: $18.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.83+63%
Q3 2026$11.58+38%
Q2 2026$10.63+29%
Q1 2026$9.75+27%
Q4 2025$8.66+0.6%
Q3 2025$8.39-5.7%
Q2 2025$8.22-5.5%
Q1 2025$7.65-10%
Q4 2024$8.61+6.2%

AMAT earned $11.58 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

UBER Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.07+138%
Q3 2026$1.71-78%
Q2 2026$4.57-22%
Q1 2026$4.03-29%
Q4 2025$4.73+3.7%
Q3 2025$7.78+285%
Q2 2025$5.87+538%
Q1 2025$5.71+806%
Q4 2024$4.56+424%

UBER has the edge over AMAT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.7BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1B
Q4 2023: $6.7BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.1B+25%
Q2 2026$7.9B+11%
Q1 2026$7B-2.1%
Q4 2025$6.8B-3.5%
Q3 2025$7.3B+7.7%
Q2 2025$7.1B+6.8%
Q1 2025$7.2B+6.8%
Q4 2024$7B+4.8%

AMAT's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $9.1B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

UBER Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.8B+9.6%
Q2 2026$14.2B+12%
Q1 2026$13.2B+14%
Q4 2025$14.4B+20%
Q3 2025$13.5B+20%
Q2 2025$12.7B+18%
Q1 2025$11.5B+14%
Q4 2024$12B+20%

UBER has the edge over AMAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+14%
Q2 2026$210M-80%
Q1 2026$1B+91%
Q4 2025$2B-5.8%
Q3 2025$2.1B-1.8%
Q2 2025$1.1B-6.5%
Q1 2025$544M-74%
Q4 2024$2.2B+74%

AMAT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $5.6B over the past year, down 3.4% from the year before.

UBER Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+14%
Q2 2026$2.8B+13%
Q1 2026$2.3B+1.6%
Q4 2025$2.8B+65%
Q3 2025$2.2B+5.7%
Q2 2025$2.5B+44%
Q1 2025$2.3B+66%
Q4 2024$1.7B+122%

UBER has the edge over AMAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 845MQ1 2024: 837MQ2 2024: 836MQ3 2024: 833MQ4 2024: 834MQ1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
Q4 2023: 845MQ1 2024: 837MQ2 2024: 836MQ3 2024: 833MQ4 2024: 834MQ1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year-0.2%-2M shares
3 years-5.1%-43M shares
5 years-13%-118M shares
Available history-15%-145M shares

AMAT has 800M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UBER Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+99K shares
1 year-3.5%-74.1M shares
3 years-2.8%-58.2M shares
5 years+8%+151M shares
Available history+19%+326M shares

UBER has the edge over AMAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

AMAT has the edge over UBER on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UBER Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

UBER's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic13.8Oversold

AMAT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

UBER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

AMAT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMATSector medianRelative
PE30x28x8.4% above
PE %853550 pts above

AMAT has the edge over UBER on valuation relative to its sector.

UBER PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUBERSector medianRelative
PE40x28x45% above
PE %683533 pts above

UBER is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AMAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$427.811% below
20 week MA$477.920% below
50 week MA$418.08.9% below
100 week MA$298.528% above
200 week MA$232.164% above

AMAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 64% above its 200-week average.

UBER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$68.70.7% above
20 week MA$71.73.6% below
50 week MA$74.47.1% below
100 week MA$78.912% below
200 week MA$67.91.8% above

UBER's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.8% above its 200-week average.

AMAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.2$85.3+39%
2021$85.3$155.5+82%
2022$155.5$97.2-37%
2023$97.2$162.1+67%
2024$162.1$166.8+2.9%
2025$166.8$261.9+57%
2026 YTD$261.9$381.0+45%

AMAT has the edge over UBER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UBER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.2$52.9+75%
2021$52.9$43.9-17%
2022$43.9$24.6-44%
2023$24.6$61.6+150%
2024$61.6$61.1-0.7%
2025$61.1$81.3+33%
2026 YTD$81.3$69.1-15%

UBER's yearly returns have swung widely, from +150% in 2023 to −44% in 2022. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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