AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.

69
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

AMAT has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$205-46%
Forward20x$381—
Fair21x$263-31%
Expensive29x$365-4.1%
Current30x$381—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMAT's PE is 30x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMAT, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$571.89
Downside-30%$264.79

Calculated from the latest close: $380.95 on Nov 12.

AMAT trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMAT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Q4 2026: $12.62Forward: $18.83
Q4 2025: $8.66Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $10.63Q3 2026: $11.58Q4 2026: $12.62Forward: $18.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.83+49%
Q4 2026$12.62+46%

AMAT has the edge over RKLB in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

AMAT Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1BQ4 2026: $10.4B
Q1 2025: $7.2BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $7BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $9.1BQ4 2026: $10.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2026$10.4B+53%
Q3 2026$9.1B+25%
Q2 2026$7.9B+11%
Q1 2026$7B-2.1%

AMAT's revenue is growing: $10.4B last quarter, up 53% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over AMAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMAT Free Cash Flow

Q1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3BQ4 2026: --
Q1 2025: $544MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $2.3BQ4 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+14%
Q2 2026$210M-80%
Q1 2026$1B+91%

AMAT and RKLB do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

AMAT Total Shares

Q1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
Q1 2025: 819MQ2 2025: 812MQ3 2025: 802MQ4 2025: 808MQ1 2026: 799MQ2 2026: 799MQ3 2026: 800M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year-0.2%-2M shares

AMAT has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

AMAT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low

AMAT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AMAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic13.8Oversold

AMAT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

AMAT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMATSector medianRelative
PE30x28x8.4% above
PE %853550 pts above

AMAT is trading at 30x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$427.811% below
20 week MA$477.920% below
50 week MA$418.08.9% below
100 week MA$298.528% above
200 week MA$232.164% above

AMAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 64% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over AMAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.2$85.3+39%
2021$85.3$155.5+82%
2022$155.5$97.2-37%
2023$97.2$162.1+67%
2024$162.1$166.8+2.9%
2025$166.8$261.9+57%
2026 YTD$261.9$381.0+45%

AMAT has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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